With AIDS shows what has happened and what is projected to happen in each
country because of AIDS mortality and its demographic consequences.
Without AIDS shows a hypothetical series of what the Census Bureau’s
modeling work indicates would have happened if a country had not been affected
by the HIV/AIDS epidemic. This modeling takes into account not only lower
death rates but also associated changes to a country’s age-sex structure
and, indirectly, the combined effects of lower mortality and changing
population composition on demographic indicators.