FRIDAY, DECEMBER 12, AT 8:30 A.M. EST
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for November, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $355.7 billion, a decrease of 1.8 percent (±0.5%) from the previous month and 7.4 percent (±0.7%) below November 2007. Total sales for the September through November 2008 period were down 4.5 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The September to October 2008 percent change was revised from -2.8 percent (±0.5%) to -2.9 percent (±0.2%).
Retail trade sales were down 2.0 percent (±0.5%) from October 2008 and were 8.5 percent (±0.7%) below last year. Motor vehicle and parts dealers sales were down 25.2 percent (±2.3%) from November 2007 and gasoline stations sales were down 22.0 percent (±1.7%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Estimates adjusted for seasonal variation, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
The Advance Monthly Retail Sales for Retail and Food Services for December is scheduled to be released January 14, 2009 at 8:30 a.m. EST.
For information, visit the Census Bureau's Web site at <http://www.census.gov/retail>. This report is also available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's STAT-USA (202-482-1986).
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--NOVEMBER 2008 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Timothy Winters (301) 763-2713.TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2008
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2) (In Millions of dollars) 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007 NAICS(1) Kind of Business Nov(3) Oct Sep Nov Oct Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 355,655 362,035 373,033 384,099 379,623 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 297,420 302,142 309,682 306,255 300,364 Retail ....................................... 317,141 323,581 334,415 346,627 342,153 GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 95,679 96,729 98,569 97,853 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 58,235 59,893 63,351 77,844 79,259 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 51,637 53,376 56,850 71,461 72,731 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 8,734 8,720 8,804 9,797 9,866 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 9,232 8,979 9,164 9,683 9,425 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 7,146 7,385 7,820 7,540 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,833 1,779 1,863 1,885 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 26,587 26,905 27,168 28,083 27,581 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 22,603 22,890 24,299 23,912 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 49,706 49,534 49,662 47,847 47,525 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 44,307 44,218 44,377 42,816 42,481 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,613 3,579 3,327 3,321 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 20,942 20,728 20,711 19,909 20,031 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 17,142 17,162 16,578 16,646 447 Gasoline stations................................ 32,653 38,274 43,934 41,875 38,072 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 18,021 17,876 18,241 19,123 18,886 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S) 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,113 3,247 3,432 3,405 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,144 2,171 2,256 2,187 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,350 7,150 7,325 7,419 7,432 452 General merchandise stores....................... 50,128 49,548 49,764 48,862 48,504 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 16,572 16,234 16,423 17,373 17,413 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 33,314 33,341 31,489 31,091 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 29,613 29,604 27,813 27,423 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,701 3,737 3,676 3,668 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,973 10,049 9,928 9,885 9,964 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 25,580 25,925 26,363 26,300 25,608 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 17,977 18,125 18,122 17,847 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 38,514 38,454 38,618 37,472 37,470 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html (2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/mrts.html (3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532). (5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2008
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 11 month total % Chg. 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007 NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2008 from Nov(2) Oct Sep Nov Oct Code 2007 (a) (p) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 4,085,664 0.8 346,890 357,983 357,661 381,344 372,495 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 3,333,302 4.1 298,010 300,962 295,200 313,157 297,128 Retail ....................................... 3,665,069 0.4 310,340 319,183 320,124 345,596 335,100 GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 91,318 87,343 108,704 92,525 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 752,362 -11.4 48,880 57,021 62,461 68,187 75,367 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 680,776 -12.6 42,704 50,120 55,940 61,957 68,513 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 39,360 44,391 50,912 55,842 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,901 6,521 6,230 6,854 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 99,500 -7.4 9,293 8,685 8,619 10,737 9,787 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,511 4,605 5,416 5,082 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,174 4,014 5,321 4,705 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 96,968 0.9 10,496 7,959 8,188 11,095 8,377 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 6,267 6,573 8,993 6,643 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,692 1,615 2,102 1,734 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 304,206 -3.0 24,500 27,954 27,087 27,226 28,862 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 24,095 23,622 23,764 25,586 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 537,033 5.7 49,597 49,542 47,803 48,040 46,742 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 481,912 5.8 44,085 44,262 42,824 42,859 41,844 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,591 3,379 3,450 3,228 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 223,652 3.7 20,062 20,811 19,986 19,610 20,131 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 17,416 16,613 16,296 16,862 447 Gasoline stations................................ 465,694 14.5 29,943 39,193 43,714 39,111 38,757 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 192,696 -0.4 19,341 17,205 16,215 20,888 17,913 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 804 770 969 867 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,094 3,072 3,665 3,344 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 6,764 6,191 8,385 6,955 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,045 1,934 2,242 2,058 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 76,346 1.5 7,622 6,263 6,768 7,961 6,518 452 General merchandise stores....................... 526,043 4.2 54,848 47,672 44,161 54,156 46,110 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 173,103 -3.9 19,672 15,535 14,017 20,965 16,400 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 15,971 14,407 21,538 16,848 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 32,137 30,144 33,191 29,710 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 28,458 26,792 29,092 26,134 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,679 3,352 4,099 3,576 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 107,899 0.7 9,680 10,251 9,831 9,989 10,129 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 282,670 4.4 26,078 26,627 25,291 28,596 26,407 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 18,444 17,744 19,898 18,400 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 420,595 4.2 36,550 38,800 37,537 35,748 37,395 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html (2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532). (4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2008
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Nov Oct 2008 2008 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct Code 2008 2007 2008 2007 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... -1.8 -7.4 -2.9 -4.6 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -1.6 -2.9 -2.4 +0.6 Retail .................................. -2.0 -8.5 -3.2 -5.4 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -2.8 -25.2 -5.5 -24.4 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... -3.3 -27.7 -6.1 -26.6 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.2 -10.9 -1.0 -11.6 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +2.8 -4.7 -2.0 -4.7 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -1.2 -5.3 -1.0 -2.5 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.3 +3.9 -0.3 +4.2 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.2 +3.5 -0.4 +4.1 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +1.0 +5.2 +0.1 +3.5 447 Gasoline stations................................ -14.7 -22.0 -12.9 +0.5 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.8 -5.8 -2.0 -5.3 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +2.8 -0.9 -2.4 -3.8 452 General merchandise stores....................... +1.2 +2.6 -0.4 +2.2 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +2.1 -4.6 -1.2 -6.8 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -0.8 +0.9 +1.2 +0.9 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -1.3 -2.7 -1.7 +1.2 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.2 +2.8 -0.4 +2.6 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--November 2008
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Nov Oct 2008 2008 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Oct Nov Sep Oct Code 2008 2007 2008 2007 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... -3.1 -9.0 +0.1 -3.9 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -1.0 -4.8 +2.0 +1.3 Retail .................................. -2.8 -10.2 -0.3 -4.7 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -14.3 -28.3 -8.7 -24.3 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -14.8 -31.1 -10.4 -26.8 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +7.0 -13.4 +0.8 -11.3 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +31.9 -5.4 -2.8 -5.0 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -12.4 -10.0 +3.2 -3.1 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.1 +3.2 +3.6 +6.0 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -0.4 +2.9 +3.4 +5.8 446 Health & personal care stores.................... -3.6 +2.3 +4.1 +3.4 447 Gasoline stations................................ -23.6 -23.4 -10.3 +1.1 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +12.4 -7.4 +6.1 -4.0 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +21.7 -4.3 -7.5 -3.9 452 General merchandise stores....................... +15.1 +1.3 +8.0 +3.4 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +26.6 -6.2 +10.8 -5.3 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -5.6 -3.1 +4.3 +1.2 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -2.1 -8.8 +5.3 +0.8 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -5.8 +2.2 +3.4 +3.8 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
Current Quarter Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: Retail Indicators Branch, U.S. Census Bureau | Last Revised: December 12, 2008
