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ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES SUMMARY - July 2007
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The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $376.1 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±0.7%)* from the previous month and 3.2 percent (±0.8%) above July 2006. Total sales for the May through July 2007 period were up 4.1 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The May to June 2007 percent change was revised from -0.9 percent (± 0.7%) to -0.7 percent (± 0.2%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.2 percent (±0.7%)* from June 2007 and were 2.7 percent (±0.8%) above last year. Food services and drinking places were up 8.0 percent (±2.8%) from July 2006 and sales of nonstore retailers were up 7.3percent (±2.6%) from last year.
The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for August is scheduled to be released September 14, 2007 at 8:30 a.m. EDT.
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2007
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes.
(Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2)
(In Millions of dollars)
2007 2007 2007 2006 2006
NAICS(1) Kind of Business Jul(3) Jun May Jul Jun
Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 376,051 374,957 377,689 364,225 360,488
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 301,017 299,711 300,186 288,257 286,789
Retail ....................................... 338,064 337,457 340,409 329,068 325,387
GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 97,998 98,224 94,139 93,933
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 75,034 75,246 77,503 75,968 73,699
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 68,709 68,937 71,162 69,804 67,586
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 10,290 10,236 10,375 10,234 10,217
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 9,303 9,207 9,302 9,049 9,017
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 7,412 7,515 7,346 7,284
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,795 1,787 1,703 1,733
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 29,837 29,764 30,438 29,722 29,735
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 26,077 26,655 26,276 26,302
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 47,735 47,541 47,368 45,319 45,116
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 42,491 42,281 42,133 40,440 40,281
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,444 3,411 3,152 3,118
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 19,872 19,726 19,685 18,748 18,737
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 16,572 16,583 15,903 15,855
447 Gasoline stations................................ 35,684 35,956 36,438 36,004 35,314
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 19,050 18,797 19,022 18,010 17,859
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S)
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,384 3,475 3,337 3,298
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,242 2,250 2,252 2,237
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,576 7,549 7,539 7,194 7,272
452 General merchandise stores....................... 48,626 48,179 47,989 45,875 45,872
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 17,734 17,459 17,611 17,520 17,769
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA)
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 30,720 30,378 28,355 28,103
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 27,164 26,804 24,837 24,610
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,556 3,574 3,518 3,493
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,346 10,643 10,292 9,912 9,868
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 24,711 24,613 24,458 23,033 22,681
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 16,636 16,504 15,187 15,086
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 37,987 37,500 37,280 35,157 35,101
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html
(2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment
uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally
adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found
on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/mrts.html
(3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532).
(5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2007
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change)
7 month total
% Chg. 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006
NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2007 from Jul(2) Jun May Jul Jun
Code 2006 (a) (p) (r)
Retail & food services, total.................... 2,561,925 3.9 376,801 382,768 397,926 365,323 369,852
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 2,013,700 4.3 296,417 301,754 311,665 284,454 289,298
Retail ....................................... 2,302,557 3.7 337,446 343,880 359,192 328,619 333,698
GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 94,009 95,884 88,426 89,882
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 548,225 2.5 80,384 81,014 86,261 80,869 80,554
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 504,395 2.5 73,793 74,383 79,559 74,551 74,007
44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 59,573 63,714 61,728 60,213
4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,631 6,702 6,318 6,547
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 69,069 2.9 10,012 10,154 10,240 9,958 10,156
4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 5,326 5,484 5,307 5,311
4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,828 4,756 4,651 4,845
443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 59,406 3.0 8,550 8,526 8,549 8,345 8,392
44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 6,923 6,951 6,795 6,789
44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,603 1,598 1,550 1,603
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 211,087 -1.7 31,233 33,459 37,854 30,434 34,205
4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 28,659 30,893 27,064 29,563
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 325,729 5.7 48,155 48,172 49,095 46,353 45,435
4451 Grocery stores.................................. 291,378 5.5 42,916 42,788 43,734 41,370 40,523
4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,568 3,459 3,259 3,190
446 Health & personal care stores.................... 136,373 6.7 19,236 19,430 20,216 18,092 18,550
44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 16,207 17,031 15,315 15,601
447 Gasoline stations................................ 242,610 1.3 38,396 38,473 39,353 38,848 37,503
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 118,440 6.5 17,064 17,532 18,795 16,388 16,628
44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 842 865 688 775
44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,326 3,680 2,977 3,245
44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 6,783 7,074 6,635 6,420
4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,116 2,255 2,146 2,096
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 46,498 1.9 6,940 7,179 6,800 6,575 6,770
452 General merchandise stores....................... 313,269 5.0 45,810 47,002 47,707 43,767 44,576
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 110,037 -1.1 15,747 16,324 16,899 15,914 16,599
4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 16,748 17,341 16,354 17,067
4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 30,678 30,808 27,853 27,977
45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 27,218 27,152 24,564 24,536
45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,460 3,656 3,289 3,441
453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 68,852 3.0 9,933 10,823 11,025 9,450 10,101
454 Nonstore retailers............................... 162,999 9.3 21,733 22,116 23,297 19,540 20,828
4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 15,372 16,124 13,349 14,286
722 Food services & drinking places.................. 259,368 5.9 39,355 38,888 38,734 36,704 36,154
(*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business.
(NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html
(2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample.
All other estimates are from the MRTS sample.
(3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443),
clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532).
(4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.
TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2007
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Jul Jun
2007 2007
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun
Code 2007 2006 2007 2006
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.3 +3.2 -0.7 +4.0
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.4 +4.4 -0.2 +4.5
Retail .................................. +0.2 +2.7 -0.9 +3.7
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -0.3 -1.2 -2.9 +2.1
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... -0.3 -1.6 -3.1 +2.0
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.5 +0.5 -1.3 +0.2
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +1.0 +2.8 -1.0 +2.1
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.2 +0.4 -2.2 +0.1
445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.4 +5.3 +0.4 +5.4
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.5 +5.1 +0.4 +5.0
446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.7 +6.0 +0.2 +5.3
447 Gasoline stations................................ -0.8 -0.9 -1.3 +1.8
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +1.3 +5.8 -1.2 +5.3
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.4 +5.3 +0.1 +3.8
452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.9 +6.0 +0.4 +5.0
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +1.6 +1.2 -0.9 -1.7
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -2.8 +4.4 +3.4 +7.9
454 Nonstore retailers............................... +0.4 +7.3 +0.6 +8.5
722 Food services & drinking places.................. +1.3 +8.0 +0.6 +6.8
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.
TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2007
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes.
(Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey,
Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*)
Jul Jun
2007 2007
adv. prel.
from-- from--
NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun
Code 2007 2006 2007 2006
(p) (r) (r) (r)
Retail & food Services, total.................... -1.6 +3.1 -3.8 +3.5
Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -1.8 +4.2 -3.2 +4.3
Retail .................................. -1.9 +2.7 -4.3 +3.1
441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -0.8 -0.6 -6.1 +0.6
4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -0.8 -1.0 -6.5 +0.5
442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -1.4 +0.5 -0.8 0.0
443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.3 +2.5 -0.3 +1.6
444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -6.7 +2.6 -11.6 -2.2
445 Food & beverage stores........................... 0.0 +3.9 -1.9 +6.0
4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.3 +3.7 -2.2 +5.6
446 Health & personal care stores.................... -1.0 +6.3 -3.9 +4.7
447 Gasoline stations................................ -0.2 -1.2 -2.2 +2.6
448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -2.7 +4.1 -6.7 +5.4
451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -3.3 +5.6 +5.6 +6.0
452 General merchandise stores....................... -2.5 +4.7 -1.5 +5.4
4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -3.5 -1.0 -3.4 -1.7
453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -8.2 +5.1 -1.8 +7.1
454 Nonstore retailers............................... -1.7 +11.2 -5.1 +6.2
722 Food services & drinking places.................. +1.2 +7.2 +0.4 +7.6
(p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate
(*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--JULY 2007 (Press Release available without
charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and
measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report
should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713.