STATE POPULATION RANKINGS SUMMARY SOURCE OF DATA: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Population Division, Population Paper Listing #47, Population Electronic Product #45. FLORIDA'S POPULATION PROJECTIONS: 1995 TO 2025 OVERVIEW * Florida had a population of 14.2 million people in 1995. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state ranked as the 4th most populous. By 2000, it is projected to be the 4th most populous with 15.2 million people. By 2025, it is projected to be the 3rd most populous with 20.7 million people. * Over the three decades, Florida's total population is expected to increase 6.5 million people. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state's net gain ranks as the 3rd largest. Its rate of population change, at 46.2 percent, ranks as the 9th largest. From 1995 to 2000, the state would have a net increase of 1.1 million people, which would rank as the 2nd largest net gain in the nation. * 5.4 percent of the nation's population resided in Florida in 1995 (ranked 4th largest among the 50 states and District of Columbia), compared with 5.5 percent in 2000 (ranked 4th) and 6.2 percent in 2025 (ranked 3rd). * Florida is expected to gain 1.9 million people through international migration between 1995 and 2025, placing it 3rd largest among the net international migration gains among the 50 states and District of Columbia. (more) -2- * Florida is projected to rank 1st largest among the 50 states and District of Columbia in the number of persons gained through net internal migration between 1995 and 2025, gaining 3.9 million persons. * During the 1995 to 2025 period, Florida could have 6.2 million births and 5.8 million deaths. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state could rank 4th largest in births and 2nd largest in deaths. It could rank 3rd largest in terms of its natural increase (birth minus deaths). AGE GROUPS * The number and proportion of Florida's population that is aged 18 and over is expected to increase from 10.8 million or 76.2 percent in 1995 to 11.7 million or 77 percent in 2000. This population is expected to increase to 16.7 million or 80.8 percent in 2025. * All states and the District of Columbia are projected to show a decline in the proportion of youth (under 20 years old) in their populations. The percentage of Florida's population classified as youth is projected to decrease from 26.1 percent in 1995 to 21.4 percent in 2025. Its rank among the 50 states and District of Columbia is expected to be the 49th largest proportion of youth in 1995 and the 50th largest proportion of youth in 2025. (more) -3- * As the Baby Boom generation (those born between 1946 and 1964) reaches retirement age, the growth of the elderly population (65 and over) is expected to accelerate rapidly. The size of the elderly population is projected to increase in all states and the District of Columbia over the 30 year period. The proportion of Florida's population classified as elderly is expected to increase from 18.6 percent in 1995 to 26.3 percent in 2025. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state is projected to have the 1st highest proportion of elderly in 1995 and the 1st highest proportion of elderly in 2025. * Florida's dependency ratio, the number of youth (under age 20) and elderly (ages 65 and over) there would be for every 100 people of working ages (20 to 64 years of age), could rise from 80.6 in 1995 to 91.2 in 2025. The 1995 and 2025 ratios rank the state as the 4th largest and 8th largest, respectively, among the 50 states and the District of Columbia. (more) -4- RACE AND ETHNIC GROUPS * By 2025, non-Hispanic Whites would comprise 58.9 percent of Florida's population, down from 70.7 percent in 1995. Non-Hispanic African Americans would comprise 14.8 percent of the state population in 2025, up from 13.9 percent in 1995. Non-Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut would comprise 0.3 percent of the 1995 state population and 0.2 percent of the 2025 state population. Non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders would increase from 1.4 percent of the 1995 state population to 2.2 percent of the 2025 state population. Persons of Hispanic origin, who may be of any race, is projected to increase from 13.8 percent of the 1995 state population to 23.9 percent of the 2025 state population. * Between 1995 and 2025, the number of non-Hispanic Whites residing in Florida is projected to increase by 2.2 million, compared to a gain of 1.1 million for non- Hispanic African Americans, a gain of 15 thousand for non- Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut, a gain of 249 thousand for the non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders, and a gain of 3 million for persons of Hispanic origin. (more) -5- * The numeric change in Florida's non-Hispanic White population from 1995 to 2025 ranks as the 1st largest gain among the 50 states and District of Columbia. In the same period, the non-Hispanic African American population change ranks as the 3rd largest gain, while the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut population change ranks as the 16th largest gain. The non-Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander population change ranks as the 10th largest gain, while the Hispanic population change ranks as the 3rd largest gain. * During the 30 year period, Florida's non- Hispanic White population grew by a rate of 21.8 percent. The non-Hispanic African American population grew by 56.2 percent, the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut population grew by 41.2 percent, the non-Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander population grew by 125 percent, and the Hispanic population grew by 152.9 percent. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the rate of growth for non-Hispanic Whites ranks 12th largest. The non-Hispanic African American growth rate ranks 20th largest, while the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut growth rate ranks 25th largest. The non- Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander growth rate ranks 28th largest, while the Hispanic growth rate ranks 16th largest. (more) -6- * The number and proportion of Florida's voting age population that is non-Hispanic White is projected to be 8.3 million or 71.1 percent in 2000. Comparable figures for the other race and ethnic groups are 1.4 million and 12.2 percent for non-Hispanic African Americans, 30 thousand and 0.3 percent for non-Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut, 178 thousand and 1.5 percent for non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders, and 1.8 million and 15 percent for persons of Hispanic origin. Source: Figures are from Series A (the Preferred Series) as reported in Campbell, Paul R., 1996, "Population Projections for States, by Age, Sex, Race and Hispanic Origin: 1995 to 2025," Report PPL-47, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Population Division. Most of these data are available in files found on the Population Projections section of the World Wide Web's Census Bureau Home Page (http://www.census.gov).