STATE POPULATION RANKINGS SUMMARY SOURCE OF DATA: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Population Division, Population Paper Listing #47, Population Electronic Product #45. IDAHO'S POPULATION PROJECTIONS: 1995 TO 2025 OVERVIEW * Idaho had a population of 1.2 million people in 1995. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state ranked as the 41st most populous. By 2000, it is projected to be the 39th most populous with 1.3 million people. By 2025, it is projected to be the 40th most populous with 1.7 million people. * Over the three decades, Idaho's total population is expected to increase 576 thousand people. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state's net gain ranks as the 31st largest. Its rate of population change, at 49.5 percent, ranks as the 6th largest. From 1995 to 2000, the state would have a net increase of 183 thousand people, which would rank as the 23rd largest net gain in the nation. * 0.4 percent of the nation's population resided in Idaho in 1995 (ranked 41st largest among the 50 states and District of Columbia), compared with 0.5 percent in 2000 (ranked 39th) and 0.5 percent in 2025 (ranked 40th). * Idaho is expected to gain 33 thousand people through international migration between 1995 and 2025, placing it 37th largest among the net international migration gains among the 50 states and District of Columbia. (more) -2- * Idaho is projected to rank 17th largest among the 50 states and District of Columbia in the number of persons gained through net internal migration between 1995 and 2025, gaining 257 thousand persons. * During the 1995 to 2025 period, Idaho could have 627 thousand births and 379 thousand deaths. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state could rank 39th largest in births and 40th largest in deaths. It could rank 31st largest in terms of its natural increase (birth minus deaths). AGE GROUPS * The number and proportion of Idaho's population that is aged 18 and over is expected to increase from 815 thousand or 70.1 percent in 1995 to 969 thousand or 72 percent in 2000. This population is expected to increase to 1.3 million or 75.6 percent in 2025. * All states and the District of Columbia are projected to show a decline in the proportion of youth (under 20 years old) in their populations. The percentage of Idaho's population classified as youth is projected to decrease from 33.3 percent in 1995 to 26.9 percent in 2025. Its rank among the 50 states and District of Columbia is expected to be the 3rd largest proportion of youth in 1995 and the 13th largest proportion of youth in 2025. (more) -3- * As the Baby Boom generation (those born between 1946 and 1964) reaches retirement age, the growth of the elderly population (65 and over) is expected to accelerate rapidly. The size of the elderly population is projected to increase in all states and the District of Columbia over the 30 year period. The proportion of Idaho's population classified as elderly is expected to increase from 11.4 percent in 1995 to 21.5 percent in 2025. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state is projected to have the 40th highest proportion of elderly in 1995 and the 10th highest proportion of elderly in 2025. * Idaho's dependency ratio, the number of youth (under age 20) and elderly (ages 65 and over) there would be for every 100 people of working ages (20 to 64 years of age), could rise from 80.9 in 1995 to 94.1 in 2025. The 1995 and 2025 ratios rank the state as the 3rd largest and 5th largest, respectively, among the 50 states and the District of Columbia. (more) -4- RACE AND ETHNIC GROUPS * By 2025, non-Hispanic Whites would comprise 84.7 percent of Idaho's population, down from 91.4 percent in 1995. Non-Hispanic African Americans would comprise 0.5 percent of the state population in 2025, up from 0.4 percent in 1995. Non-Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut would comprise 1.2 percent of the 1995 state population and 1.6 percent of the 2025 state population. Non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders would increase from 1 percent of the 1995 state population to 1.4 percent of the 2025 state population. Persons of Hispanic origin, who may be of any race, is projected to increase from 6.1 percent of the 1995 state population to 11.8 percent of the 2025 state population. * Between 1995 and 2025, the number of non-Hispanic Whites residing in Idaho is projected to increase by 409 thousand, compared to a gain of 5 thousand for non- Hispanic African Americans, a gain of 14 thousand for non- Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut, a gain of 13 thousand for the non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders, and a gain of 135 thousand for persons of Hispanic origin. (more) -5- * The numeric change in Idaho's non-Hispanic White population from 1995 to 2025 ranks as the 18th largest gain among the 50 states and District of Columbia. In the same period, the non-Hispanic African American population change ranks as the 44th largest gain, while the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut population change ranks as the 17th largest gain. The non-Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander population change ranks as the 43rd largest gain, while the Hispanic population change ranks as the 24th largest gain. * During the 30 year period, Idaho's non- Hispanic White population grew by a rate of 38.5 percent. The non-Hispanic African American population grew by 132.4 percent, the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut population grew by 102 percent, the non-Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander population grew by 112.6 percent, and the Hispanic population grew by 191.1 percent. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the rate of growth for non-Hispanic Whites ranks 1st largest. The non-Hispanic African American growth rate ranks 1st largest, while the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut growth rate ranks 5th largest. The non- Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander growth rate ranks 37th largest, while the Hispanic growth rate ranks 4th largest. (more) -6- * The number and proportion of Idaho's voting age population that is non-Hispanic White is projected to be 886 thousand or 91.4 percent in 2000. Comparable figures for the other race and ethnic groups are 4 thousand and 0.4 percent for non-Hispanic African Americans, 12 thousand and 1.2 percent for non-Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut, 10 thousand and 1 percent for non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders, and 58 thousand and 5.9 percent for persons of Hispanic origin. Source: Figures are from Series A (the Preferred Series) as reported in Campbell, Paul R., 1996, "Population Projections for States, by Age, Sex, Race and Hispanic Origin: 1995 to 2025," Report PPL-47, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Population Division. Most of these data are available in files found on the Population Projections section of the World Wide Web's Census Bureau Home Page (http://www.census.gov).