STATE POPULATION RANKINGS SUMMARY SOURCE OF DATA: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Population Division, Population Paper Listing #47, Population Electronic Product #45. MAINE'S POPULATION PROJECTIONS: 1995 TO 2025 OVERVIEW * Maine had a population of 1.2 million people in 1995. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state ranked as the 39th most populous. By 2000, it is projected to be the 40th most populous with 1.3 million people. By 2025, it is projected to be the 42nd most populous with 1.4 million people. * Over the three decades, Maine's total population is expected to increase 181 thousand people. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state's net gain ranks as the 44th largest. Its rate of population change, at 14.6 percent, ranks as the 38th largest. From 1995 to 2000, the state would have a net increase of 18 thousand people, which would rank as the 46th largest net gain in the nation. * 0.5 percent of the nation's population resided in Maine in 1995 (ranked 39th largest among the 50 states and District of Columbia), compared with 0.5 percent in 2000 (ranked 40th) and 0.4 percent in 2025 (ranked 42nd). * Maine is expected to gain 20 thousand people through international migration between 1995 and 2025, placing it 44th largest among the net international migration gains among the 50 states and District of Columbia. (more) -2- * Maine is projected to rank 24th largest among the 50 states and District of Columbia in the number of persons gained through net internal migration between 1995 and 2025, gaining 86 thousand persons. * During the 1995 to 2025 period, Maine could have 437 thousand births and 402 thousand deaths. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state could rank 42nd largest in births and 39th largest in deaths. It could rank 44th largest in terms of its natural increase (birth minus deaths). AGE GROUPS * The number and proportion of Maine's population that is aged 18 and over is expected to increase from 936 thousand or 75.4 percent in 1995 to 966 thousand or 76.8 percent in 2000. This population is expected to increase to 1.1 million or 79.7 percent in 2025. * All states and the District of Columbia are projected to show a decline in the proportion of youth (under 20 years old) in their populations. The percentage of Maine's population classified as youth is projected to decrease from 27.2 percent in 1995 to 22.4 percent in 2025. Its rank among the 50 states and District of Columbia is expected to be the 42nd largest proportion of youth in 1995 and the 49th largest proportion of youth in 2025. (more) -3- * As the Baby Boom generation (those born between 1946 and 1964) reaches retirement age, the growth of the elderly population (65 and over) is expected to accelerate rapidly. The size of the elderly population is projected to increase in all states and the District of Columbia over the 30 year period. The proportion of Maine's population classified as elderly is expected to increase from 13.9 percent in 1995 to 21.4 percent in 2025. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state is projected to have the 14th highest proportion of elderly in 1995 and the 12th highest proportion of elderly in 2025. * Maine's dependency ratio, the number of youth (under age 20) and elderly (ages 65 and over) there would be for every 100 people of working ages (20 to 64 years of age), could rise from 69.7 in 1995 to 78 in 2025. The 1995 and 2025 ratios rank the state as the 32nd largest and 42nd largest, respectively, among the 50 states and the District of Columbia. (more) -4- RACE AND ETHNIC GROUPS * By 2025, non-Hispanic Whites would comprise 96.3 percent of Maine's population, down from 97.9 percent in 1995. Non-Hispanic African Americans would comprise 0.4 percent of the state population in 2025, up from 0.4 percent in 1995. Non-Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut would comprise 0.5 percent of the 1995 state population and 0.5 percent of the 2025 state population. Non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders would increase from 0.6 percent of the 1995 state population to 1.3 percent of the 2025 state population. Persons of Hispanic origin, who may be of any race, is projected to increase from 0.6 percent of the 1995 state population to 1.5 percent of the 2025 state population. * Between 1995 and 2025, the number of non-Hispanic Whites residing in Maine is projected to increase by 154 thousand, compared to a gain of 1 thousand for non- Hispanic African Americans, a gain of 1 thousand for non- Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut, a gain of 11 thousand for the non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders, and a gain of 14 thousand for persons of Hispanic origin. (more) -5- * The numeric change in Maine's non-Hispanic White population from 1995 to 2025 ranks as the 29th largest gain among the 50 states and District of Columbia. In the same period, the non-Hispanic African American population change ranks as the 50th largest gain, while the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut population change ranks as the 42nd largest gain. The non-Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander population change ranks as the 46th largest gain, while the Hispanic population change ranks as the 48th largest gain. * During the 30 year period, Maine's non- Hispanic White population grew by a rate of 12.7 percent. The non-Hispanic African American population grew by 32.9 percent, the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut population grew by 21.7 percent, the non-Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander population grew by 136.4 percent, and the Hispanic population grew by 181.7 percent. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the rate of growth for non-Hispanic Whites ranks 25th largest. The non-Hispanic African American growth rate ranks 36th largest, while the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut growth rate ranks 40th largest. The non- Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander growth rate ranks 18th largest, while the Hispanic growth rate ranks 6th largest. (more) -6- * The number and proportion of Maine's voting age population that is non-Hispanic White is projected to be 946 thousand or 97.9 percent in 2000. Comparable figures for the other race and ethnic groups are 3 thousand and 0.3 percent for non-Hispanic African Americans, 4 thousand and 0.4 percent for non-Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut, 7 thousand and 0.7 percent for non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders, and 6 thousand and 0.7 percent for persons of Hispanic origin. Source: Figures are from Series A (the Preferred Series) as reported in Campbell, Paul R., 1996, "Population Projections for States, by Age, Sex, Race and Hispanic Origin: 1995 to 2025," Report PPL-47, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Population Division. Most of these data are available in files found on the Population Projections section of the World Wide Web's Census Bureau Home Page (http://www.census.gov).