STATE POPULATION RANKINGS SUMMARY SOURCE OF DATA: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Population Division, Population Paper Listing #47, Population Electronic Product #45. OREGON'S POPULATION PROJECTIONS: 1995 TO 2025 OVERVIEW * Oregon had a population of 3.1 million people in 1995. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state ranked as the 29th most populous. By 2000, it is projected to be the 27th most populous with 3.4 million people. By 2025, it is projected to be the 26th most populous with 4.3 million people. * Over the three decades, Oregon's total population is expected to increase 1.2 million people. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state's net gain ranks as the 15th largest. Its rate of population change, at 38.5 percent, ranks as the 13th largest. From 1995 to 2000, the state would have a net increase of 257 thousand people, which would rank as the 12th largest net gain in the nation. * 1.2 percent of the nation's population resided in Oregon in 1995 (ranked 29th largest among the 50 states and District of Columbia), compared with 1.2 percent in 2000 (ranked 27th) and 1.3 percent in 2025 (ranked 26th). * Oregon is expected to gain 197 thousand people through international migration between 1995 and 2025, placing it 19th largest among the net international migration gains among the 50 states and District of Columbia. (more) -2- * Oregon is projected to rank 8th largest among the 50 states and District of Columbia in the number of persons gained through net internal migration between 1995 and 2025, gaining 712 thousand persons. * During the 1995 to 2025 period, Oregon could have 1.4 million births and 1.2 million deaths. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state could rank 29th largest in births and 27th largest in deaths. It could rank 15th largest in terms of its natural increase (birth minus deaths). AGE GROUPS * The number and proportion of Oregon's population that is aged 18 and over is expected to increase from 2.3 million or 74.6 percent in 1995 to 2.6 million or 76.2 percent in 2000. This population is expected to increase to 3.4 million or 79.1 percent in 2025. * All states and the District of Columbia are projected to show a decline in the proportion of youth (under 20 years old) in their populations. The percentage of Oregon's population classified as youth is projected to decrease from 28.1 percent in 1995 to 23.1 percent in 2025. Its rank among the 50 states and District of Columbia is expected to be the 34th largest proportion of youth in 1995 and the 45th largest proportion of youth in 2025. (more) -3- * As the Baby Boom generation (those born between 1946 and 1964) reaches retirement age, the growth of the elderly population (65 and over) is expected to accelerate rapidly. The size of the elderly population is projected to increase in all states and the District of Columbia over the 30 year period. The proportion of Oregon's population classified as elderly is expected to increase from 13.6 percent in 1995 to 24.2 percent in 2025. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the state is projected to have the 17th highest proportion of elderly in 1995 and the 4th highest proportion of elderly in 2025. * Oregon's dependency ratio, the number of youth (under age 20) and elderly (ages 65 and over) there would be for every 100 people of working ages (20 to 64 years of age), could rise from 71.4 in 1995 to 90 in 2025. The 1995 and 2025 ratios rank the state as the 25th largest and 10th largest, respectively, among the 50 states and the District of Columbia. (more) -4- RACE AND ETHNIC GROUPS * By 2025, non-Hispanic Whites would comprise 82 percent of Oregon's population, down from 89.5 percent in 1995. Non-Hispanic African Americans would comprise 2 percent of the state population in 2025, up from 1.7 percent in 1995. Non-Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut would comprise 1.3 percent of the 1995 state population and 1.5 percent of the 2025 state population. Non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders would increase from 2.8 percent of the 1995 state population to 4.7 percent of the 2025 state population. Persons of Hispanic origin, who may be of any race, is projected to increase from 4.8 percent of the 1995 state population to 9.8 percent of the 2025 state population. * Between 1995 and 2025, the number of non-Hispanic Whites residing in Oregon is projected to increase by 757 thousand, compared to a gain of 33 thousand for non- Hispanic African Americans, a gain of 26 thousand for non- Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut, a gain of 116 thousand for the non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders, and a gain of 277 thousand for persons of Hispanic origin. (more) -5- * The numeric change in Oregon's non-Hispanic White population from 1995 to 2025 ranks as the 7th largest gain among the 50 states and District of Columbia. In the same period, the non-Hispanic African American population change ranks as the 36th largest gain, while the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut population change ranks as the 10th largest gain. The non-Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander population change ranks as the 19th largest gain, while the Hispanic population change ranks as the 16th largest gain. * During the 30 year period, Oregon's non- Hispanic White population grew by a rate of 26.9 percent. The non-Hispanic African American population grew by 63 percent, the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut population grew by 64.3 percent, the non-Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander population grew by 131.3 percent, and the Hispanic population grew by 184.1 percent. Among the 50 states and District of Columbia, the rate of growth for non-Hispanic Whites ranks 5th largest. The non-Hispanic African American growth rate ranks 15th largest, while the non-Hispanic American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut growth rate ranks 14th largest. The non- Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander growth rate ranks 21st largest, while the Hispanic growth rate ranks 5th largest. (more) -6- * The number and proportion of Oregon's voting age population that is non-Hispanic White is projected to be 2.3 million or 89.4 percent in 2000. Comparable figures for the other race and ethnic groups are 41 thousand and 1.6 percent for non-Hispanic African Americans, 31 thousand and 1.2 percent for non-Hispanic American Indians, Eskimos, and Aleut, 79 thousand and 3 percent for non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders, and 123 thousand and 4.8 percent for persons of Hispanic origin. Source: Figures are from Series A (the Preferred Series) as reported in Campbell, Paul R., 1996, "Population Projections for States, by Age, Sex, Race and Hispanic Origin: 1995 to 2025," Report PPL-47, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Population Division. Most of these data are available in files found on the Population Projections section of the World Wide Web's Census Bureau Home Page (http://www.census.gov).