Tech Paper 28: Appendix 2. Logistic Regression Results Predicting Voting Among All Citizens and Naturalized Citizens: November, 1996

Appendix 2. Logistic Regression Results Predicting Voting Among All Citizens and Naturalized Citizens: November, 1996

Characteristics	All Citizens			All Citizens			All Citizens			All Naturalized Citizens
	Model 5: Base Model			Model 6: Includes Nativity Status			Model 7: Includes Region of Origin			Model 8: Includes Year of Entry and Region of Origion
	Parameter Estimate	Modified std error	Odds Ratio	Parameter Estimate	Modified std error	Odds Ratio	Parameter Estimate	Modified std error	Odds Ratio	Parameter Estimate	Modified std error	Odds Ratio

Nativity Status
Naturalized				-0.3030	0.0514	0.74
Duration in the U.S.
11 to 25 years										0.2191	0.1661	1.25
26 to 45 years										0.6022	0.1910	1.83
46 to 65 years										0.8730	0.2909	2.39
66 years or more										0.5466	0.3463	1.73
Region of Origin
Europe							-0.3112	0.0780	0.73	(R)	(R)	(R)
Asia							-0.4929	0.0933	0.61	-0.1608	0.3046	0.85
Latin America							0.0586	0.0825	1.06	-0.1914	0.3469	0.83
Other North America							-0.1406	0.2137	0.87	0.4176	0.3929	1.52
Other Regions							-0.4117	0.2095	0.66	-0.3490	0.4045	0.71
Sex
Female	0.1908	0.0204	1.21	0.1912	0.0204	1.21	0.1911	0.0204	1.21	-0.0313	0.1083	0.97
Age
18 to 99	0.0284	0.0009	1.03	0.0288	0.0009	1.03	0.0286	0.0009	1.03	0.0211	0.0053	1.02
Race
Black, not Hispanic	0.4046	0.0337	1.50	0.4070	0.0337	1.50	0.3980	0.0338	1.49	0.2079	0.3134	1.23
Hispanic, regardless of race	-0.1475	0.0423	0.86	-0.0907	0.0433	0.91	-0.1673	0.0460	0.85	-0.1718	0.2803	0.84
Other race, not Hispanic	-0.6309	0.0589	0.53	-0.5072	0.0624	0.60	-0.4249	0.0706	0.65	-0.2236	0.2058	0.80
Marital Status
Married	0.2705	0.0301	1.31	0.2747	0.0301	1.32	0.2746	0.0301	1.32	-0.1517	0.1806	0.86
Widowed, divorced, separated	-0.2088	0.0360	0.81	-0.2090	0.0360	0.81	-0.2083	0.0360	0.81	-0.2617	0.2180	0.77
Presence of Related Kids	-0.1523	0.0236	0.86	-0.1493	0.0236	0.86	-0.1488	0.0236	0.86	-0.1530	0.1236	0.86
Education
At least some college	0.9858	0.0222	2.68	0.9882	0.0223	2.69	0.9898	0.0223	2.69	0.7593	0.1203	2.14
Employment Status
Employed	0.1441	0.0264	1.16	0.1457	0.0264	1.16	0.1439	0.0265	1.16	-0.0731	0.1415	0.93
Not employed	0.0131	0.0580	1.01	0.0159	0.0580	1.02	0.0130	0.0580	1.01	0.3458	0.3115	1.41
Occupation
Professional	0.3562	0.0296	1.43	0.3557	0.0296	1.43	0.3558	0.0296	1.43	0.3013	0.1500	1.35
Income	0.1305	0.0069	1.14	0.1311	0.0069	1.14	0.1310	0.0069	1.14	0.1267	0.0353	1.14
Dummy for Income	-0.1368	0.0348	0.87	-0.1365	0.0348	0.87	-0.1366	0.0348	0.87	-0.7617	0.1787	0.47
Tenure
Owns	0.3259	0.0258	1.39	0.3251	0.0258	1.38	0.3257	0.0258	1.39	0.0465	0.1314	1.05
Length of Time at Address
1 to 4 years	0.3514	0.0302	1.42	0.3518	0.0302	1.42	0.3502	0.0302	1.42	0.3331	0.1648	1.40
5 or more years	0.6525	0.0311	1.92	0.6511	0.0311	1.92	0.6500	0.0311	1.92	0.5215	0.1654	1.68
Metropolitan Status
Suburb	-0.1704	0.0247	0.84	-0.1725	0.0247	0.84	-0.1747	0.0248	0.84	-0.0935	0.1114	0.91
Nonmetropolitan	-0.1613	0.0299	0.85	-0.1711	0.0299	0.84	-0.1736	0.0299	0.84	0.0027	0.2345	1.00
Region
Northeast	0.1247	0.0283	1.13	0.1348	0.0283	1.14	0.1322	0.0283	1.14	0.2324	0.1468	1.26
Midwest	0.2274	0.0261	1.26	0.2280	0.0261	1.26	0.2270	0.0261	1.26	0.2582	0.1852	1.30
West	0.2626	0.0288	1.30	0.2646	0.0288	1.30	0.2656	0.0288	1.30	0.3428	0.1404	1.41

Intercept	-2.7572	0.0594	.	-2.7747	0.0595	.	-2.7612	0.0595	.	-2.2485	0.4654	.

R = Omitted Category

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Survey (CPS).

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division,
Fertility & Family Statistics Branch
Authors: Loretta E. Bass and Lynne M. Casper
Last Revised: October 31, 2011 at 10:03:04 PM

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