CB-02-20FOR WIRE TRANSMISION 8:30 A.M. ET., Wednesday, February 13, 2002
**************************************************************************************************************************** Intention to Revise Retail Estimates: Monthly retail sales estimates will be revised based on the results of the 2000 Annual Retail Trade Survey. Revised unadjusted and corresponding adjusted data are scheduled for release on May 3. ****************************************************************************************************************************
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for January, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $295.7 billion, a decrease of 0.2 percent (±1.0%) from the previous month, but up 2.8 percent (±1.7%) from January 2001. Total sales for the November 2001 through January 2002 period were up 3.8 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The November to December 2001 percent change was revised from -0.1 percent (±1.0%) to 0.2 percent (±0.3%). Retail trade sales were down 0.1 percent (±1.2%) from December, but were 2.6 percent (±1.7%) above last year. Health and personal care stores were up 8.0 percent (±3.6%) from January 2001 and sales of electronics and appliance stores were up 6.3 percent (±2.6%) from last year. Sales of gasoline stations decreased 12.9 percent (±4.8%) from January a year ago and nonstore retailers were down 7.1 percent (±9.4%) from last year. The advance estimates are based on a small subsample of the Bureau's full retail and food services sample. Estimates from the advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the earlier reporting in the advance and because of sampling variability present in both surveys. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section at the end of this page.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES--January 2002
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 2002 2001 2001 2001 2000 NAICS Kind of business Jan Dec Nov code adv. prel. final Jan(r) Dec(r) Retail & food services, total.................... 295,714 296,424 295,857 287,551 284,315 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 223,014 220,451 219,014 217,621 215,849 Retail ....................................... 267,938 268,083 268,849 261,022 258,456 GAFO............................................. (*) 77,240 76,122 74,265 72,949 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 72,700 75,973 76,843 69,930 68,466 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 66,405 69,917 70,908 63,951 62,172 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,956 7,921 7,841 7,762 7,259 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,585 7,870 7,708 7,135 7,159 44311 Appl., T.V., & camera.......................... (*) 5,542 5,448 5,093 5,112 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 2,328 2,260 2,042 2,047 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 24,951 24,239 24,550 23,623 23,408 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 21,468 21,696 20,413 20,227 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 41,069 40,911 40,683 39,519 39,586 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 37,110 36,884 36,732 35,735 35,921 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,606 2,560 2,495 2,434 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 14,934 14,598 14,704 13,831 13,690 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 11,996 12,721 11,916 11,627 447 Gasoline stations................................ 18,034 17,167 17,738 20,700 20,458 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 14,724 14,370 13,991 14,417 14,213 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 861 856 902 887 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,623 2,608 2,787 2,677 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 1,838 1,818 1,843 1,832 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,612 7,553 7,726 6,962 6,674 452 General merchandise stores....................... 36,371 35,624 35,259 34,476 34,094 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 20,584 20,182 19,892 19,807 19,612 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 15,442 15,367 14,669 14,482 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) 11,968 11,997 11,590 11,617 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,474 3,370 3,079 2,865 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,318 9,390 9,302 9,012 8,916 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 12,684 12,467 12,504 13,655 14,533 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 8,836 8,805 9,153 9,716 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 27,776 28,341 27,008 26,529 25,859 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES--January 2002
Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 1 month total Change 2002 2001 2001 2001 2000 NAICS Kind of business 2002 from Jan Dec Nov code 2001 adv. prel. final Jan Dec Retail & food services, total.................... 266,234 3.2 266,234 339,484 298,498 257,934 329,118 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 200,460 2.9 200,460 273,385 227,925 194,787 269,269 Retail ....................................... 240,652 3.0 240,652 311,341 272,597 233,740 303,104 GAFO............................................. (*) (*) (*) 123,378 86,083 61,060 117,893 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 65,774 4.2 65,774 66,099 70,573 63,147 59,849 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 59,964 3.8 59,964 60,618 64,739 57,748 54,090 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 52,792 56,492 49,878 46,956 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 5,481 5,834 5,399 5,759 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,296 3.1 7,296 9,378 8,570 7,079 8,617 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,724 4,559 3,963 4,343 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,654 4,011 3,116 4,274 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,394 6.8 7,394 12,497 8,465 6,926 11,241 44311 Appl., T.V., & camera.......................... (*) (*) (*) 9,510 6,216 4,843 8,654 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,987 2,249 2,083 2,587 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 20,845 6.1 20,845 21,523 23,419 19,644 20,847 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 18,935 21,067 17,147 17,901 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 39,608 5.0 39,608 45,141 40,898 37,715 44,032 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 36,219 5.0 36,219 39,540 36,879 34,484 38,867 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,607 2,678 2,138 3,410 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 14,755 8.0 14,755 16,729 14,483 13,665 15,812 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 14,215 12,479 11,809 13,790 447 Gasoline stations................................ 16,537 -13.3 16,537 16,755 17,383 19,065 20,192 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 10,648 4.4 10,648 25,020 15,548 10,204 25,068 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 1,444 975 729 1,517 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,884 2,791 1,998 3,978 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 8,474 5,666 3,306 8,345 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,387 1,765 1,351 2,398 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 6,737 9.0 6,737 13,438 8,612 6,178 12,105 452 General merchandise stores....................... 29,279 7.5 29,279 57,283 41,041 27,236 55,505 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 16,077 6.0 16,077 34,705 23,905 15,171 34,026 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (*) (*) 35,261 24,329 15,468 34,731 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 22,578 17,136 12,065 21,479 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) (*) (*) 17,353 13,341 9,608 17,158 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 5,225 3,795 2,457 4,321 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 8,551 4.4 8,551 11,735 9,577 8,189 11,351 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 13,228 -10.0 13,228 15,743 14,028 14,692 18,485 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 11,646 10,099 8,787 12,884 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 25,582 5.7 25,582 28,143 25,901 24,194 26,014 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES--January 2002
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Jan Dec 2002 2001 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of business Dec Jan Nov Dec CODE 2001 2001 2001 2000 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... -0.2 +2.8 +0.2 +4.3 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +1.2 +2.5 +0.7 +2.1 Retail .................................. -0.1 +2.6 -0.3 +3.7 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -4.3 +4.0 -1.1 +11.0 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... -5.0 +3.8 -1.4 +12.5 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.4 +2.5 +1.0 +9.1 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -3.6 +6.3 +2.1 +9.9 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +2.9 +5.6 -1.3 +3.6 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.4 +3.9 +0.6 +3.3 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.6 +3.8 +0.4 +2.7 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +2.3 +8.0 -0.7 +6.6 447 Gasoline stations................................ +5.1 -12.9 -3.2 -16.1 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +2.5 +2.1 +2.7 +1.1 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.8 +9.3 -2.2 +13.2 452 General merchandise stores....................... +2.1 +5.5 +1.0 +4.5 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +2.0 +3.9 +1.5 +2.9 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -0.8 +3.4 +0.9 +5.3 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +1.7 -7.1 -0.3 -14.2 722 Food services & drinking Places.................. -2.0 +4.7 +4.9 +9.6 Not Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Jan Dec 2002 2001 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of business Dec Jan Nov Dec CODE 2001 2001 2001 2000 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... -21.6 +3.2 +13.7 +3.1 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -26.7 +2.9 +19.9 +1.5 Retail .................................. -22.7 +3.0 +14.2 +2.7 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -0.5 +4.2 -6.3 +10.4 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -1.1 +3.8 -6.4 +12.1 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -22.2 +3.1 +9.4 +8.8 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -40.8 +6.8 +47.6 +11.2 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -3.2 +6.1 -8.1 +3.2 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -12.3 +5.0 +10.4 +2.5 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -8.4 +5.0 +7.2 +1.7 446 Health & personal care stores.................... -11.8 +8.0 +15.5 +5.8 447 Gasoline stations................................ -1.3 -13.3 -3.6 -17.0 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -57.4 +4.4 +60.9 -0.2 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -49.9 +9.0 +56.0 +11.0 452 General merchandise stores....................... -48.9 +7.5 +39.6 +3.2 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -53.7 +6.0 +45.2 +2.0 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -27.1 +4.4 +22.5 +3.4 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -16.0 -10.0 +12.2 -14.8 722 Food services & drinking Places.................. -9.1 +5.7 +8.7 +8.2 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE:Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--JANUARY 2002 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 457-2713/2666.
Estimates from the Advance and the full survey are subject to nonsampling errors. Such errors can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors. Additionally, estimates of sales prior to March 2001 have been restated from SIC-based estimates. The restatement methodology may have introduced additional nonsampling error. Precautionary steps are taken to minimize nonsampling errors, but their magnitude is not directly measured.
Preliminary estimates for the current month and final estimates for the previous month based on the full sample will be published next month in the Monthly Retail Trade Report. This report will provide sales estimates in greater detail and additional measures of sampling variability. It will also present a description of revisions, techniques used in developing the estimates, and an explanation of confidence intervals and sampling variability (Appendix B, Reliability of Estimates).
3rd Quarter 2001 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
