WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 13, 2008 AT 8:30 A.M. EST
| Intention to Revise Retail Estimates: Monthly retail sales estimates will be revised based on the results of the 2006 Annual Retail Trade Survey. Revised not adjusted and corresponding adjusted data are scheduled for release on April 30, 2008. |
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for January, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $382.9 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±0.5%)* from the previous month and 3.9 percent (±0.7%) above January 2007. Total sales for the November 2007 through January 2008 period were up 4.4 percent (±0.3%) from the same period a year ago. The November to December 2007 percent change was unrevised from -0.4 percent (±0.4%)*.
Retail trade sales were up 0.4 percent (±0.7%)* from December 2007 and were 3.8 percent (±0.8%) above last year. Gasoline station sales were up 23.0 percent (±2.8%) from January 2007 and sales of nonstore retailers were up 10.6 percent (±2.0%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Estimates adjusted for seasonal variation, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
The Advance Monthly Retail Sales for Retail and Food Services for February is scheduled to be released March 13, 2008 at 8:30 a.m. EDT.
For information, visit the Census Bureau's Web site at <http://www.census.gov/retail>. This report is also available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's STAT-USA (202-482-1986).
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--JANUARY 2008 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713.TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2008
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2) (In Millions of dollars) 2008 2007 2007 2007 2006 NAICS(1) Kind of Business Jan(3) Dec Nov Jan Dec Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 382,906 381,654 383,365 368,694 368,177 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 306,178 305,368 306,241 291,816 290,838 Retail ....................................... 344,594 343,150 345,270 331,983 331,128 GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 98,049 99,032 97,654 96,254 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 76,728 76,286 77,124 76,878 77,339 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 70,518 70,035 70,788 70,687 71,131 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 10,012 10,063 10,152 10,466 10,218 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 9,265 9,359 9,671 9,416 9,369 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 7,567 7,853 7,528 7,431 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,792 1,818 1,888 1,938 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 28,213 28,701 29,431 29,636 29,466 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 24,597 25,143 26,137 25,848 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 49,241 48,970 48,731 46,601 46,355 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 43,737 43,595 43,393 41,532 41,252 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,459 3,415 3,246 3,231 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 20,134 19,974 19,907 19,353 19,362 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 16,629 16,616 16,490 16,414 447 Gasoline stations................................ 40,108 39,325 39,328 32,596 32,925 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 18,781 18,518 18,953 18,793 18,455 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S) 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,348 3,413 3,391 3,379 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,268 2,288 2,279 2,298 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,302 7,400 7,586 7,298 7,196 452 General merchandise stores....................... 48,862 48,833 48,731 47,709 47,083 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 17,050 17,236 17,307 17,904 17,653 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 31,597 31,424 29,805 29,430 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 28,058 27,817 26,252 25,886 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,539 3,607 3,553 3,544 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,280 10,175 10,184 10,030 10,211 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 25,668 25,546 25,472 23,207 23,149 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 17,116 17,139 15,799 16,062 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 38,312 38,504 38,095 36,711 37,049 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html (2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/mrts.html (3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532). (5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2008
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 1 month total % Chg. 2008 2007 2007 2007 2006 NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2008 from Jan(2) Dec Nov Jan Dec Code 2007 (a) (p) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 348,250 4.6 348,250 433,613 383,928 332,797 422,341 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 280,693 5.7 280,693 363,189 315,386 265,530 350,836 Retail ....................................... 312,811 4.6 312,811 394,454 347,509 298,986 384,218 GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 147,845 109,830 83,867 147,500 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 67,557 0.4 67,557 70,424 68,542 67,267 71,505 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 61,844 0.3 61,844 64,642 62,364 61,639 65,725 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 54,106 51,856 51,064 55,665 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 5,782 6,178 5,628 5,780 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 9,221 -4.3 9,221 11,643 11,137 9,639 11,996 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 5,551 5,621 5,256 5,685 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 6,092 5,516 4,383 6,311 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,669 -1.9 8,669 15,494 11,197 8,833 15,507 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 12,683 9,141 7,024 12,573 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,811 2,056 1,809 2,934 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 22,541 -5.8 22,541 24,731 28,760 23,941 25,517 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 21,768 24,892 21,929 22,901 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 48,006 6.7 48,006 53,704 49,073 45,010 51,270 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 43,300 6.3 43,300 46,211 43,567 40,743 44,057 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 4,736 3,541 2,710 4,498 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 20,235 3.5 20,235 21,971 19,509 19,547 21,356 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 18,109 16,350 16,770 17,924 447 Gasoline stations................................ 36,298 23.5 36,298 36,926 37,676 29,402 31,048 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 14,303 1.4 14,303 31,240 20,877 14,111 31,655 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 1,428 939 722 1,456 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,969 3,696 2,621 5,065 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 11,481 8,524 5,255 11,947 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 3,007 2,295 1,789 3,079 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 6,762 -1.0 6,762 12,602 8,284 6,831 12,600 452 General merchandise stores....................... 42,245 3.5 42,245 71,366 54,182 40,800 69,899 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 13,451 -4.5 13,451 29,610 20,899 14,078 30,568 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 30,342 21,430 14,461 31,383 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 41,756 33,283 26,722 39,331 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 36,447 29,236 23,837 33,937 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 5,309 4,047 2,885 5,394 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,460 3.8 9,460 12,218 10,342 9,117 12,572 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 27,514 12.4 27,514 32,135 27,930 24,488 29,293 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 22,199 18,922 15,657 20,993 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 35,439 4.8 35,439 39,159 36,419 33,811 38,123 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html (2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories(448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores(4532). (4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2008
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Jan Dec 2008 2007 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Dec Jan Nov Dec Code 2007 2007 2007 2006 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.3 +3.9 -0.4 +3.7 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.3 +4.9 -0.3 +5.0 Retail .................................. +0.4 +3.8 -0.6 +3.6 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +0.6 -0.2 -1.1 -1.4 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +0.7 -0.2 -1.1 -1.5 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.5 -4.3 -0.9 -1.5 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -1.0 -1.6 -3.2 -0.1 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -1.7 -4.8 -2.5 -2.6 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.6 +5.7 +0.5 +5.6 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.3 +5.3 +0.5 +5.7 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.8 +4.0 +0.3 +3.2 447 Gasoline stations................................ +2.0 +23.0 0.0 +19.4 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +1.4 -0.1 -2.3 +0.3 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -1.3 +0.1 -2.5 +2.8 452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.1 +2.4 +0.2 +3.7 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -1.1 -4.8 -0.4 -2.4 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +1.0 +2.5 -0.1 -0.4 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +0.5 +10.6 +0.3 +10.4 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -0.5 +4.4 +1.1 +3.9 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--January 2008
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Jan Dec 2008 2007 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Dec Jan Nov Dec Code 2007 2007 2007 2006 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... -19.7 +4.6 +12.9 +2.7 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -22.7 +5.7 +15.2 +3.5 Retail .................................. -20.7 +4.6 +13.5 +2.7 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -4.1 +0.4 +2.7 -1.5 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -4.3 +0.3 +3.7 -1.6 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -20.8 -4.3 +4.5 -2.9 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -44.0 -1.9 +38.4 -0.1 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -8.9 -5.8 -14.0 -3.1 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -10.6 +6.7 +9.4 +4.7 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -6.3 +6.3 +6.1 +4.9 446 Health & personal care stores.................... -7.9 +3.5 +12.6 +2.9 447 Gasoline stations................................ -1.7 +23.5 -2.0 +18.9 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -54.2 +1.4 +49.6 -1.3 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -46.3 -1.0 +52.1 0.0 452 General merchandise stores....................... -40.8 +3.5 +31.7 +2.1 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -54.6 -4.5 +41.7 -3.1 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -22.6 +3.8 +18.1 -2.8 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -14.4 +12.4 +15.1 +9.7 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -9.5 +4.8 +7.5 +2.7 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
Current Quarter
Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: Retail Indicators Branch, a U.S. Census Bureau | Last Revised: February 13, 2008
