CB-03-77FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION 8:30 A.M. ET, Wednesday, May 14, 2003
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Notice of Revision: Monthly retail sales were revised based on the results of the 2001 Annual Retail Trade Survey. The Annual Benchmark Report for Retail Trade showing revised unadjusted and adjusted data was released on April 30, 2003 and can be found on our website at http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/data/pdf/annpub02.pdf |
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for April, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $309.5 billion, a decrease of 0.1 percent (±0.9%) from the previous month, but up 4.1 percent (±1.0%) from April 2002. Total sales for the February through April 2003 period were up 4.2 percent (±0.4%) from the same period a year ago. The February to March 2003 percent change was revised from +2.1 percent (±0.9%) to +2.3 percent (±0.4%).
Retail trade sales were down 0.1 percent (±0.9%) from March and were 4.0 percent (±1.0%) above last year. Motor vehicle and parts dealers were up 8.2 percent (±3.0%) from April 2002 and sales of gasoline stations were up 6.7 percent (±2.4%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section at the end of this page.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--April 2003
Data adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (In Millions of dollars) 2003 2003 2003 2002 2002 NAICS Kind of Business Apr Mar Feb Code adv. prel. final Apr(r) Mar(r) Retail & food services, total.................... 309,455 309,813 302,741 297,404 293,579 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 234,061 236,275 232,672 227,755 224,309 Retail ....................................... 280,387 280,585 274,066 269,655 265,947 GAFO............................................. (*) 79,230 78,449 78,089 77,468 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 75,394 73,538 70,069 69,649 69,270 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 68,963 67,050 63,673 63,408 63,124 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 8,007 8,035 7,655 7,883 7,874 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,484 7,478 7,436 7,409 7,464 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 5,409 5,375 5,420 5,375 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 2,069 2,061 1,989 2,089 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 25,900 25,964 24,193 25,312 24,579 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 22,627 21,041 22,259 21,634 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 41,901 41,955 41,812 40,768 40,842 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 37,798 37,870 37,821 36,799 36,891 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,633 2,597 2,624 2,615 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 15,619 15,557 15,446 15,077 14,686 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 13,529 13,207 12,699 12,493 447 Gasoline stations................................ 21,760 23,132 22,882 20,395 19,152 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 14,336 14,810 14,374 14,464 14,382 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 823 796 845 849 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,908 2,823 2,899 2,869 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 1,879 1,832 1,858 1,841 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 6,732 6,655 6,718 6,739 6,872 452 General merchandise stores....................... 38,751 38,986 38,935 38,274 37,556 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 17,800 18,045 18,182 19,412 19,082 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 20,941 20,753 18,862 18,474 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) 17,702 17,578 15,894 15,549 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,239 3,175 2,968 2,925 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 8,679 8,594 8,534 8,720 8,579 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 15,824 15,881 16,012 14,965 14,691 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 9,965 9,991 9,713 9,500 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 29,068 29,228 28,675 27,749 27,632 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--April 2003
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 4 month total % Chg. 2003 2003 2003 2002 2002 NAICS Kind of Business 2003 from Apr Mar Feb Code 2002 adv. prel. final Apr Mar Retail & food services, total.................... 1,163,720 4.5 309,302 305,840 269,569 294,252 294,166 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 877,717 4.5 230,781 229,129 204,635 220,998 222,023 Retail ....................................... 1,052,642 4.6 280,408 276,144 243,532 266,586 265,788 GAFO............................................. (*) (*) (*) 74,185 66,435 70,741 74,799 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 286,003 4.8 78,521 76,711 64,934 73,254 72,143 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 261,472 4.9 71,859 70,268 59,280 66,832 66,028 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 58,972 50,119 56,767 56,578 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,443 5,654 6,422 6,115 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 29,737 0.8 7,543 7,923 6,928 7,418 7,803 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,464 3,969 4,195 4,525 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,459 2,959 3,223 3,278 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 27,279 -0.3 6,453 7,079 6,626 6,408 7,110 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 4,933 4,730 4,558 4,950 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,146 1,896 1,850 2,160 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 94,411 3.2 29,823 24,379 19,124 29,040 22,951 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 21,269 17,296 24,018 20,336 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 161,119 2.9 40,931 41,238 37,882 38,593 41,557 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 146,570 2.8 37,004 37,491 34,493 34,959 37,739 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,420 2,176 2,398 2,461 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 61,367 4.9 15,666 15,635 14,643 14,881 15,053 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 13,353 12,586 12,559 12,730 447 Gasoline stations................................ 85,051 16.9 21,825 22,901 19,999 20,375 19,209 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 49,694 0.9 13,729 13,441 11,699 13,201 13,963 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 735 608 773 802 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,864 2,287 2,940 3,035 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,647 3,618 4,376 4,688 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 1,800 1,504 1,828 1,953 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 23,408 -1.5 5,837 5,896 5,260 5,829 6,233 452 General merchandise stores....................... 138,443 3.7 36,686 36,856 32,830 34,934 36,597 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 62,236 -5.8 16,679 16,670 14,640 17,530 18,301 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (*) (*) 16,977 14,899 17,841 18,627 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 20,186 18,190 17,404 18,296 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) (*) (*) 17,206 15,539 14,638 15,456 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 2,980 2,651 2,766 2,840 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 32,210 -0.6 8,196 7,999 7,897 8,238 8,133 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 63,920 9.2 15,198 16,086 15,710 14,415 15,036 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 9,626 8,972 9,266 9,310 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 111,078 4.3 28,894 29,696 26,037 27,666 28,378 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (r) Revised.TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--April 2003
Data adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Percent Change) Apr Mar 2003 2003 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Mar Apr Feb Mar Code 2003 2002 2003 2002 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... -0.1 +4.1 +2.3 +5.5 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -0.9 +2.8 +1.5 +5.3 Retail .................................. -0.1 +4.0 +2.4 +5.5 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +2.5 +8.2 +5.0 +6.2 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +2.9 +8.8 +5.3 +6.2 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.3 +1.6 +5.0 +2.0 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.1 +1.0 +0.6 +0.2 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -0.2 +2.3 +7.3 +5.6 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -0.1 +2.8 +0.3 +2.7 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -0.2 +2.7 +0.1 +2.7 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.4 +3.6 +0.7 +5.9 447 Gasoline stations................................ -5.9 +6.7 +1.1 +20.8 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -3.2 -0.9 +3.0 +3.0 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +1.2 -0.1 -0.9 -3.2 452 General merchandise stores....................... -0.6 +1.2 +0.1 +3.8 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -1.4 -8.3 -0.8 -5.4 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +1.0 -0.5 +0.7 +0.2 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -0.4 +5.7 -0.8 +8.1 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -0.5 +4.8 +1.9 +5.8 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (Percent Change) Apr Mar 2003 2003 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Mar Apr Feb Mar Code 2003 2002 2003 2002 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... +1.1 +5.1 +13.5 +4.0 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.7 +4.4 +12.0 +3.2 Retail .................................. +1.5 +5.2 +13.4 +3.9 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +2.4 +7.2 +18.1 +6.3 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ +2.3 +7.5 +18.5 +6.4 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -4.8 +1.7 +14.4 +1.5 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -8.8 +0.7 +6.8 -0.4 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +22.3 +2.7 +27.5 +6.2 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -0.7 +6.1 +8.9 -0.8 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -1.3 +5.8 +8.7 -0.7 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.2 +5.3 +6.8 +3.9 447 Gasoline stations................................ -4.7 +7.1 +14.5 +19.2 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +2.1 +4.0 +14.9 -3.7 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -1.0 +0.1 +12.1 -5.4 452 General merchandise stores....................... -0.5 +5.0 +12.3 +0.7 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +0.1 -4.9 +13.9 -8.9 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +2.5 -0.5 +1.3 -1.6 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -5.5 +5.4 +2.4 +7.0 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -2.7 +4.4 +14.1 +4.6 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--APRIL 2003 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713.
Source of Data: The Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey each month to provide an early indication of sales of retail and food service companies. The Advance Monthly Retail Survey is a voluntary survey of a sub-sample of about 5,000 firms selected from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey. Firms responding to this survey account for approximately 65% of the dollar volume estimate. Reliability of Estimates: The reliability of the estimates is a function of sampling and nonsampling errors. The margin of sampling error, as included on page 1, gives a range about the estimate which is a 90% confidence interval. If, for example, the trend estimate is +1.2% and the standard error is 0.9%, then the margin of sampling error is ±1.65 x 0.9% or ±1.5%, and the 90% confidence interval is -0.3% to +2.7%. If the interval contains 0, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. For monthly level, the coefficient of variation (CV) is given. The resulting confidence interval is the estimated value ± 1.65 x CV x (the estimated value). Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. Nonsampling error, on the other hand, can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors. Although not directly measured, precautionary steps are taken to minimize nonsampling error. Additional survey information is available at www.census.gov/retail.
4th Quarter 2002 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
