CB-02-91FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION 8:30 A.M. ET, Friday, July 12, 2002
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for June, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $299.5 billion, an increase of 1.1 percent (±1.0%) from the previous month, and up 3.3 percent (±1.0%) from June 2001. Total sales for the April through June 2002 period were up 3.1 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The April to May 2002 percent change was revised from –0.9 percent (±0.2%) to –1.1 percent (±0.2%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.9 percent (±1.0%) from May, and were 3.0 percent (±1.0%) above last year. Electronics and appliance stores were up 9.7 percent (±2.3%) from last year and sales of general merchandise stores were up 8.2 percent (±0.3%) from June 2001. Sales of gasoline stations decreased 5.9 percent (±2.1%) from June a year ago.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section at the end of this page.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--June 2002
Data adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (In Millions of Dollars) 2002 2002 2002 2001 2001 NAICS Kind of Business Jun May Apr Code adv. prel. final Jun(r) May(r) Retail & food services, total.................... 299,532 296,372 299,642 289,986 290,567 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 227,574 226,759 227,700 219,442 219,830 Retail ....................................... 271,298 268,287 271,522 263,286 263,930 GAFO............................................. (*) 79,133 79,386 75,066 74,799 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 71,958 69,613 71,942 70,544 70,737 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 65,884 63,553 65,799 64,394 64,635 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,997 7,999 7,913 7,623 7,575 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,876 7,812 7,693 7,177 7,085 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 5,616 5,548 5,108 5,036 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 2,196 2,145 2,069 2,049 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 26,144 26,117 26,277 25,074 25,120 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 22,505 22,623 21,512 21,326 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 39,854 39,978 39,921 39,351 39,287 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 35,752 35,898 35,860 35,421 35,391 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,641 2,646 2,546 2,528 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 15,259 15,234 15,327 14,156 14,100 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 12,895 12,958 11,922 11,827 447 Gasoline stations................................ 19,188 19,209 19,680 20,390 21,214 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 14,594 14,305 14,617 14,124 14,114 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 865 878 895 903 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,779 2,858 2,700 2,692 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 1,780 1,841 1,800 1,828 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,347 7,338 7,270 6,959 6,900 452 General merchandise stores....................... 38,419 37,996 38,285 35,518 35,418 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 19,080 18,952 19,329 19,079 19,096 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 19,044 18,956 16,439 16,322 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) 15,904 15,791 13,511 13,339 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,140 3,165 2,928 2,983 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,487 9,405 9,357 9,460 9,507 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 13,175 13,281 13,240 12,910 12,873 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 9,335 9,288 8,952 8,964 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 28,234 28,085 28,120 26,700 26,637 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--June 2002
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (In Millions of Dollars and Annual Percent Change) 6 month total % Chg. 2002 2002 2002 2001 2001 NAICS Kind of Business 2002 from Jun May Apr Code 2001 adv. prel. final Jun May Retail & food services, total.................... 1,734,101 2.8 300,835 313,440 296,521 297,681 305,942 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 1,302,429 3.3 225,652 236,836 221,362 221,197 227,915 Retail ....................................... 1,568,057 2.5 271,698 283,979 268,570 269,753 278,213 GAFO............................................. (*) (*) (*) 77,854 71,957 71,475 72,838 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 431,672 1.4 75,183 76,604 75,159 76,484 78,027 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 395,517 1.5 68,915 70,162 68,826 69,996 71,486 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 58,262 57,488 58,735 59,798 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,442 6,333 6,488 6,541 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 45,290 4.2 7,701 8,047 7,430 7,509 7,567 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,501 4,179 4,193 4,116 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,546 3,251 3,316 3,451 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 42,710 7.9 7,248 7,191 6,631 6,727 6,506 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 5,116 4,666 4,766 4,578 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,075 1,965 1,961 1,928 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 156,605 4.4 29,084 32,213 30,482 28,454 30,972 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 25,881 24,614 23,685 24,568 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 234,781 2.2 39,743 41,684 37,795 39,808 40,564 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 211,958 2.0 35,645 37,442 34,067 35,775 36,594 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,720 2,426 2,607 2,546 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 90,142 8.4 14,679 15,767 15,189 13,972 14,537 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 13,295 12,738 11,695 12,158 447 Gasoline stations................................ 111,325 -8.7 20,493 20,784 19,621 22,021 22,614 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 77,563 2.8 13,327 14,363 13,360 13,095 13,939 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 845 802 865 870 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,010 2,915 2,619 2,853 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,665 4,430 4,438 4,554 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 1,867 1,802 1,793 1,899 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 39,082 6.9 6,671 6,656 6,325 6,507 6,251 452 General merchandise stores....................... 208,710 8.3 37,002 38,110 34,966 34,389 35,124 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 102,569 0.1 17,786 18,759 17,526 17,942 18,640 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (*) (*) 19,410 17,880 18,316 19,041 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 19,351 17,440 16,447 16,484 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) (*) (*) 16,158 14,528 13,592 13,459 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,193 2,912 2,855 3,025 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 53,947 0.6 9,167 9,866 8,848 9,350 9,922 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 76,230 -2.0 11,400 12,694 12,764 11,437 12,190 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 8,906 8,898 8,182 8,516 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 166,044 5.5 29,137 29,461 27,951 27,928 27,729 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (r) Revised.TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--June 2002
Data adjusted for seasonal variatons, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. Jun May 2002 2002 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business May Jun Apr May Code 2002 2001 2002 2001 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... +1.1 +3.3 -1.1 +2.0 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.4 +3.7 -0.4 +3.2 Retail .................................. +1.1 +3.0 -1.2 +1.7 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +3.4 +2.0 -3.2 -1.6 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +3.7 +2.3 -3.4 -1.7 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 0.0 +4.9 +1.1 +5.6 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.8 +9.7 +1.5 +10.3 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.1 +4.3 -0.6 +4.0 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -0.3 +1.3 +0.1 +1.8 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -0.4 +0.9 +0.1 +1.4 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.2 +7.8 -0.6 +8.0 447 Gasoline stations................................ -0.1 -5.9 -2.4 -9.5 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +2.0 +3.3 -2.1 +1.4 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.1 +5.6 +0.9 +6.3 452 General merchandise stores....................... +1.1 +8.2 -0.8 +7.3 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +0.7 0.0 -2.0 -0.8 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +0.9 +0.3 +0.5 -1.1 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -0.8 +2.1 +0.3 +3.2 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.5 +5.7 -0.1 +5.4 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. Jun May 2002 2002 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business May Jun Apr May Code 2002 2001 2002 2001 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... -4.0 +1.1 +5.7 +2.5 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -4.7 +2.0 +7.0 +3.9 Retail .................................. -4.3 +0.7 +5.7 +2.1 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -1.9 -1.7 +1.9 -1.8 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -1.8 -1.5 +1.9 -1.9 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -4.3 +2.6 +8.3 +6.3 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.8 +7.7 +8.4 +10.5 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -9.7 +2.2 +5.7 +4.0 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -4.7 -0.2 +10.3 +2.8 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -4.8 -0.4 +9.9 +2.3 446 Health & personal care stores.................... -6.9 +5.1 +3.8 +8.5 447 Gasoline stations................................ -1.4 -6.9 +5.9 -8.1 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -7.2 +1.8 +7.5 +3.0 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.2 +2.5 +5.2 +6.5 452 General merchandise stores....................... -2.9 +7.6 +9.0 +8.5 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -5.2 -0.9 +7.0 +0.6 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -7.1 -2.0 +11.5 -0.6 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -10.2 -0.3 -0.5 +4.1 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -1.1 +4.3 +5.4 +6.2 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--JUNE 2002 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 457-2713/2666.
The Advance estimates are based on a small subsample of the Bureau’s full retail sales sample. Estimates from the Advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the earlier reporting in the Advance and because of sampling variability present in each survey. The margin of sampling error, as used on page 1, gives a range about the estimate which is a 90% confidence interval. If, for example, the trend estimate is +1.2% and the standard error is 0.9%, then the margin of sampling error is ±1.65 x 0.9% or ±1.5%, and the 90% confidence interval is -0.3% to +2.7%. If the interval contains 0, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. For monthly level, the coefficient of variation (CV) is given. The resulting confidence interval is the estimated value ± 1.65 × CV × (the estimated value). Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. Estimates from the Advance and the full survey are subject to nonsampling errors. Such errors can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors. The restatement methodology may have introduced additional nonsampling error. Precautionary steps are taken to minimize nonsampling errors, but their magnitude is not directly measured. Preliminary estimates for the current month and final estimates for the previous month based on the full sample will be published next month in the Monthly Retail Trade Report. This report will provide sales estimates in greater detail and additional measures of sampling variability. It will also present a description of revisions, the techniques used in developing the estimates, and an explanation of confidence intervals and sampling variability (Appendix B, Reliability of Estimates).
1st Quarter 2002 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
