CB-03-108FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION 8:30 A.M. ET, Tuesday, July 15, 2003
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for June, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $310.4 billion, an increase of 0.5 percent (±0.9%) from the previous month and up 4.2 percent (±1.0%) from June 2002. Total sales for the April through June 2003 period were up 4.3 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The April to May 2003 percent change was revised from +0.1 percent (±0.9%) to 0.0 percent (±0.3%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.6 percent (±0.9%) from May and were 4.1 percent (±1.0%) above last year. Building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers were up 6.1 percent (±2.2%) from June 2002 and sales for gasoline stations were up 5.8 percent (±2.3%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section at the end of this page.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--June 2003
Data adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Millions of dollars) 2003 2003 2003 2002 2002 NAICS Kind of Business Jun May Apr Code adv. prel. final Jun(r) May(r) Retail & food services, total.................... 310,417 308,814 308,675 297,813 293,870 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 235,995 234,328 234,054 227,289 226,469 Retail ....................................... 280,955 279,291 279,601 269,880 266,228 GAFO............................................. (*) 79,601 78,868 78,049 77,352 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 74,422 74,486 74,621 70,524 67,401 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 68,069 68,078 68,236 64,267 61,199 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 8,248 8,205 8,111 7,854 7,919 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,678 7,688 7,563 7,549 7,499 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 5,598 5,488 5,441 5,423 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 2,090 2,075 2,108 2,076 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 26,602 25,938 25,982 25,064 25,163 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 22,556 22,699 21,913 22,183 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 42,102 41,872 41,979 40,868 40,842 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 37,990 37,740 37,864 36,877 36,870 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,652 2,665 2,619 2,609 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 15,738 15,617 15,591 14,978 14,940 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 13,393 13,335 12,721 12,689 447 Gasoline stations................................ 21,101 20,836 21,745 19,935 20,037 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 14,789 14,605 14,379 14,370 14,071 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 822 813 832 815 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,865 2,823 2,886 2,814 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 1,769 1,752 1,819 1,809 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 6,894 6,692 6,756 6,725 6,861 452 General merchandise stores....................... 39,076 38,974 38,703 38,170 37,657 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 18,054 18,013 17,885 19,007 18,821 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 20,961 20,818 19,163 18,836 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) 17,720 17,588 16,129 15,884 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,241 3,230 3,034 2,952 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 8,673 8,783 8,634 8,810 8,664 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 15,632 15,595 15,537 15,033 15,174 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 10,106 10,057 9,625 9,776 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 29,462 29,523 29,074 27,933 27,642 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--June 2003
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 6 month total % Chg. 2003 2003 2003 2002 2002 NAICS Kind of Business 2003 from Jun May Apr Code 2002 adv. prel. final Jun May Retail & food services, total.................... 1,802,447 4.6 313,774 326,784 307,551 299,179 310,806 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 1,356,050 4.2 234,463 244,537 230,101 225,415 236,081 Retail ....................................... 1,629,782 4.6 283,634 295,224 278,739 270,324 281,699 GAFO............................................. (*) (*) (*) 78,953 73,247 73,837 76,542 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 446,397 5.9 79,311 82,247 77,450 73,764 74,725 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 408,574 6.2 72,698 75,499 70,829 67,288 68,114 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 62,839 58,766 57,333 57,561 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,748 6,621 6,476 6,611 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 46,072 2.2 7,926 8,361 7,632 7,556 8,030 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,557 4,150 4,255 4,502 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,804 3,482 3,301 3,528 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 41,632 0.7 7,150 7,172 6,507 7,015 6,953 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 5,201 4,577 5,000 4,995 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,971 1,930 2,015 1,958 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 155,976 3.9 30,586 31,338 29,443 28,007 30,609 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 25,285 23,993 23,513 25,222 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 246,680 2.8 41,495 43,845 41,081 40,844 42,554 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 223,708 2.7 37,420 39,514 37,145 36,840 38,419 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,750 2,486 2,603 2,682 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 92,756 4.9 15,297 16,085 15,622 14,454 15,448 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 13,781 13,335 12,250 13,108 447 Gasoline stations................................ 129,450 12.5 22,093 22,294 21,854 20,872 21,440 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 77,996 1.8 13,576 14,774 13,682 13,196 14,156 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 828 773 795 813 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,074 2,975 2,739 3,028 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,995 4,664 4,576 4,609 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 1,884 1,857 1,781 1,903 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 35,669 -1.2 6,246 6,009 5,851 6,160 6,168 452 General merchandise stores....................... 215,512 3.3 37,772 39,424 36,589 37,038 38,080 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 97,027 -5.5 16,913 17,876 16,669 17,866 18,764 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (*) (*) 18,186 16,960 18,174 19,373 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 21,548 19,920 19,172 19,316 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) (*) (*) 18,216 16,761 16,226 16,281 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,332 3,159 2,946 3,035 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 49,757 -0.4 8,388 9,200 8,163 8,436 9,107 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 91,885 6.9 13,794 14,475 14,865 12,982 14,429 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 9,419 9,574 8,547 9,297 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 172,665 5.0 30,140 31,560 28,812 28,855 29,107 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (r) Revised.TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--June 2003
Data adjusted for seasonal variatons, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Percent Change) Jun May 2003 2003 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business May Jun Apr May Code 2003 2002 2003 2002 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.5 +4.2 0.0 +5.1 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.7 +3.8 +0.1 +3.5 Retail .................................. +0.6 +4.1 -0.1 +4.9 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -0.1 +5.5 -0.2 +10.5 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... 0.0 +5.9 -0.2 +11.2 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.5 +5.0 +1.2 +3.6 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -0.1 +1.7 +1.7 +2.5 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +2.6 +6.1 -0.2 +3.1 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.5 +3.0 -0.3 +2.5 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.7 +3.0 -0.3 +2.4 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.8 +5.1 +0.2 +4.5 447 Gasoline stations................................ +1.3 +5.8 -4.2 +4.0 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +1.3 +2.9 +1.6 +3.8 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +3.0 +2.5 -0.9 -2.5 452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.3 +2.4 +0.7 +3.5 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +0.2 -5.0 +0.7 -4.3 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.3 -1.6 +1.7 +1.4 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +0.2 +4.0 +0.4 +2.8 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -0.2 +5.5 +1.5 +6.8 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (Percent Change) Jun May 2003 2003 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business May Jun Apr May Code 2003 2002 2003 2002 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... -4.0 +4.9 +6.3 +5.1 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -4.1 +4.0 +6.3 +3.6 Retail .................................. -3.9 +4.9 +5.9 +4.8 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -3.6 +7.5 +6.2 +10.1 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -3.7 +8.0 +6.6 +10.8 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -5.2 +4.9 +9.6 +4.1 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -0.3 +1.9 +10.2 +3.1 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -2.4 +9.2 +6.4 +2.4 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -5.4 +1.6 +6.7 +3.0 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -5.3 +1.6 +6.4 +2.9 446 Health & personal care stores.................... -4.9 +5.8 +3.0 +4.1 447 Gasoline stations................................ -0.9 +5.8 +2.0 +4.0 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -8.1 +2.9 +8.0 +4.4 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +3.9 +1.4 +2.7 -2.6 452 General merchandise stores....................... -4.2 +2.0 +7.7 +3.5 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -5.4 -5.3 +7.2 -4.7 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -8.8 -0.6 +12.7 +1.0 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -4.7 +6.3 -2.6 +0.3 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -4.5 +4.5 +9.5 +8.4 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--JUNE 2003 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713.
Source of Data: The Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey each month to provide an early indication of sales of retail and food service companies. The Advance Monthly Retail Survey is a voluntary survey of a sub-sample of about 5,000 firms selected from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey. Firms responding to this survey account for approximately 65% of the dollar volume estimate. Reliability of Estimates: The reliability of the estimates is a function of sampling and nonsampling errors. The margin of sampling error, as included on page 1, gives a range about the estimate which is a 90% confidence interval. If, for example, the trend estimate is +1.2% and the standard error is 0.9%, then the margin of sampling error is ±1.65 x 0.9% or ±1.5%, and the 90% confidence interval is -0.3% to +2.7%. If the interval contains 0, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. For monthly level, the coefficient of variation (CV) is given. The resulting confidence interval is the estimated value ± 1.65 x CV x (the estimated value). Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. Nonsampling error, on the other hand, can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors. Although not directly measured, precautionary steps are taken to minimize nonsampling error. Additional survey information is available at www.census.gov/svsd/retail.
1st Quarter 2003 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
