CB-04-109FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION 8:30 A.M. ET, Wednesday, July 14, 2004
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for June, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $331.9 billion, a decrease of 1.1 percent (±0.8%) from the previous month, but up 6.3 percent (±1.0%) from June 2003. Total sales for the April through June 2004 period were up 7.7 percent (±0.7%) from the same period a year ago. The April to May 2004 percent change was revised from +1.2 percent (±0.8%) to +1.4 percent (±0.2%).
Retail trade sales were down 1.2 percent (±0.8%) from May 2004, but were 6.3 percent (±1.2%) above last year. Gasoline station sales were up 21.4 percent (±2.1%) from June 2003 and sales of building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers were up 14.3 percent (±2.3%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section at the end of this page.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--June 2004
Data adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (In Millions of dollars) 2004 2004 2004 2003 2003 NAICS Kind of Business Jun May Apr Code adv. prel. final Jun(r) May(r) Retail & food services, total.................... 331,896 335,736 331,131 312,200 307,397 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 256,667 257,156 254,952 236,922 233,503 Retail ....................................... 300,076 303,666 299,146 282,397 277,905 GAFO............................................. (*) 84,442 83,970 80,030 79,133 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 75,229 78,580 76,179 75,278 73,894 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 68,221 71,569 69,192 68,540 67,186 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 8,466 8,373 8,600 8,259 8,123 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 8,495 8,450 8,442 7,832 7,740 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 6,091 6,067 5,566 5,525 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 2,359 2,375 2,266 2,215 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 30,629 30,591 30,876 26,806 25,971 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 27,394 27,552 23,586 22,799 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 43,820 43,867 43,512 42,124 41,474 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 39,302 39,305 39,005 37,994 37,348 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,816 2,802 2,622 2,624 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 16,912 16,878 16,808 15,957 15,726 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 14,392 14,331 13,565 13,477 447 Gasoline stations................................ 25,897 26,137 24,889 21,328 21,123 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 15,738 15,816 15,596 14,846 14,685 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 934 940 874 866 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,017 2,921 2,782 2,748 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 1,943 1,952 1,854 1,844 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 6,760 6,718 6,713 6,651 6,507 452 General merchandise stores....................... 41,695 41,770 41,315 39,082 38,682 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 17,636 17,771 17,672 17,864 17,809 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 23,999 23,643 21,218 20,873 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) 20,490 20,180 17,937 17,628 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,509 3,463 3,281 3,245 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,266 9,444 9,215 8,702 8,726 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 17,169 17,042 17,001 15,532 15,254 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 11,220 11,006 10,030 9,840 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 31,820 32,070 31,985 29,803 29,492 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--June 2004
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 6 month total % Chg. 2004 2004 2004 2003 2003 NAICS Kind of Business 2004 from Jun May Apr Code 2003 adv. prel. final Jun May Retail & food services, total.................... 1,942,382 8.4 337,111 346,283 332,165 313,353 324,452 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 1,476,375 9.4 255,953 262,344 252,925 234,022 243,188 Retail ....................................... 1,752,000 8.1 304,718 312,610 299,956 283,014 293,013 GAFO............................................. (*) (*) (*) 81,957 78,535 74,884 78,005 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 466,007 5.3 81,158 83,939 79,240 79,331 81,264 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 424,159 5.2 73,610 76,865 72,029 72,310 74,241 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 63,280 59,113 60,317 61,654 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 7,074 7,211 7,021 7,023 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 48,786 7.9 8,246 8,189 8,136 7,879 8,188 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,525 4,399 4,166 4,399 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,664 3,737 3,713 3,789 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 46,182 11.3 7,944 7,658 7,231 7,249 7,127 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 5,549 5,072 5,087 5,094 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,109 2,159 2,162 2,033 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 180,648 16.7 35,205 35,008 34,776 30,313 30,960 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 29,366 29,012 25,544 25,352 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 257,227 4.6 43,639 45,218 42,915 41,561 43,692 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 231,992 4.0 39,184 40,563 38,537 37,462 39,365 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,810 2,670 2,570 2,718 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 100,159 7.5 16,574 16,861 16,858 15,446 16,088 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 14,363 14,331 13,077 13,747 447 Gasoline stations................................ 148,816 13.1 27,244 27,575 25,337 22,245 22,749 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 84,544 8.9 14,266 15,367 15,034 13,448 14,701 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 905 901 829 855 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,104 3,123 2,632 2,924 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 5,284 5,224 4,787 5,046 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 1,978 2,096 1,756 1,938 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 35,906 3.8 6,206 5,831 5,773 5,966 5,830 452 General merchandise stores....................... 230,782 8.2 39,592 41,924 39,413 37,437 39,009 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 95,633 0.3 16,187 17,376 16,612 16,616 17,567 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (*) (*) 17,600 16,810 16,829 17,804 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 24,548 22,801 20,821 21,442 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) (*) (*) 21,043 19,393 17,668 18,122 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,505 3,408 3,153 3,320 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 53,135 6.6 9,225 9,688 8,812 8,462 9,202 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 99,808 10.9 15,419 15,352 16,431 13,677 14,203 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 10,334 10,610 9,147 9,309 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 190,382 10.5 32,393 33,673 32,209 30,339 31,439 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (r) Revised.TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--June 2004
Data adjusted for seasonal variatons, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Percent Change) Jun May 2004 2004 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business May Jun Apr May Code 2004 2003 2004 2003 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... -1.1 +6.3 +1.4 +9.2 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -0.2 +8.3 +0.9 +10.1 Retail .................................. -1.2 +6.3 +1.5 +9.3 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -4.3 -0.1 +3.2 +6.3 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... -4.7 -0.5 +3.4 +6.5 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +1.1 +2.5 -2.6 +3.1 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.5 +8.5 +0.1 +9.2 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.1 +14.3 -0.9 +17.8 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -0.1 +4.0 +0.8 +5.8 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 0.0 +3.4 +0.8 +5.2 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.2 +6.0 +0.4 +7.3 447 Gasoline stations................................ -0.9 +21.4 +5.0 +23.7 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -0.5 +6.0 +1.4 +7.7 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.6 +1.6 +0.1 +3.2 452 General merchandise stores....................... -0.2 +6.7 +1.1 +8.0 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -0.8 -1.3 +0.6 -0.2 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.9 +6.5 +2.5 +8.2 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +0.7 +10.5 +0.2 +11.7 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -0.8 +6.8 +0.3 +8.7 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (Percent Change) Jun May 2004 2004 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business May Jun Apr May Code 2004 2003 2004 2003 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... -2.6 +7.6 +4.3 +6.7 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -2.4 +9.4 +3.7 +7.9 Retail .................................. -2.5 +7.7 +4.2 +6.7 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -3.3 +2.3 +5.9 +3.3 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -4.2 +1.8 +6.7 +3.5 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.7 +4.7 +0.7 0.0 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +3.7 +9.6 +5.9 +7.5 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.6 +16.1 +0.7 +13.1 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -3.5 +5.0 +5.4 +3.5 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -3.4 +4.6 +5.3 +3.0 446 Health & personal care stores.................... -1.7 +7.3 0.0 +4.8 447 Gasoline stations................................ -1.2 +22.5 +8.8 +21.2 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -7.2 +6.1 +2.2 +4.5 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +6.4 +4.0 +1.0 0.0 452 General merchandise stores....................... -5.6 +5.8 +6.4 +7.5 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -6.8 -2.6 +4.6 -1.1 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -4.8 +9.0 +9.9 +5.3 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +0.4 +12.7 -6.6 +8.1 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -3.8 +6.8 +4.5 +7.1 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--JUNE 2004 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713.
Source of Data: The Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey each month to provide an early indication of sales of retail and food service companies. The Advance Monthly Retail Survey is a voluntary survey of a sub-sample of about 5,000 firms selected from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey. Firms responding to this survey account for approximately 65% of the dollar volume estimate. Reliability of Estimates: The reliability of the estimates is a function of sampling and nonsampling errors. The margin of sampling error, as included on page 1, gives a range about the estimate which is a 90% confidence interval. If, for example, the trend estimate is +1.2% and the standard error is 0.9%, then the margin of sampling error is ±1.65 x 0.9% or ±1.5%, and the 90% confidence interval is -0.3% to +2.7%. If the interval contains 0, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. For monthly level, the coefficient of variation (CV) is given. The resulting confidence interval is the estimated value ± 1.65 x CV x (the estimated value). Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. Nonsampling error, on the other hand, can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors. Although not directly measured, precautionary steps are taken to minimize nonsampling error. Additional survey information is available at www.census.gov/svsd/www/advtable.html.
1st Quarter 2004 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
