CB-02-104FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION 8:30 A.M. ET, Tuesday, August 13, 2002
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $304.3 billion, an increase of 1.2 percent (±1.0%) from the previous month and up 4.8 percent (±1.0%) from July 2001. Total sales for the May through July 2002 period were up 3.6 percent (±0.5%) from the same period a year ago. The May to June 2002 percent change was revised from 1.1 percent (±1.0%) to 1.4 percent (±0.2%).
Retail trade sales were up 1.2 percent (±1.2%) from June and were 4.6 percent (±1.0%) above last year. Health and personal care stores were up 8.3 percent (±2.0%) from last year and sales of motor vehicle and parts dealers were up 7.5 percent (±3.1%) from July 2001.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section at the end of this page.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2002
Data adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Millions of dollars) 2002 2002 2002 2001 2001 NAICS Kind of Business Jul Jun May Code adv. prel. final Jul(r) Jun(r) Retail & food services, total.................... 304,279 300,748 296,567 290,367 289,681 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 228,454 227,976 226,735 219,815 219,155 Retail ....................................... 275,649 272,410 268,439 263,562 262,956 GAFO............................................. (*) 79,792 78,987 76,094 74,828 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 75,825 72,772 69,832 70,552 70,526 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 69,644 66,604 63,710 64,411 64,394 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,746 7,859 7,943 7,699 7,608 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,783 7,865 7,779 7,271 7,161 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 5,602 5,576 5,180 5,097 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 2,263 2,203 2,091 2,064 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 25,874 26,177 26,028 24,933 24,934 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 22,468 22,493 21,469 21,396 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 40,209 40,099 40,027 39,386 39,315 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 36,094 35,989 35,946 35,425 35,386 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,656 2,636 2,545 2,546 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 15,437 15,273 15,229 14,254 14,142 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 12,939 12,881 12,004 11,934 447 Gasoline stations................................ 19,792 19,280 19,307 19,687 20,504 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 14,466 14,653 14,300 14,224 14,033 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 865 862 890 896 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,882 2,783 2,717 2,686 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 1,814 1,780 1,841 1,802 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,412 7,386 7,361 7,037 6,945 452 General merchandise stores....................... 38,436 38,315 37,901 36,187 35,426 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 19,036 19,063 18,926 19,370 19,027 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 19,252 18,975 16,817 16,399 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) 16,039 15,841 13,830 13,471 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,213 3,134 2,987 2,928 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,385 9,507 9,414 9,413 9,455 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 13,284 13,224 13,318 12,919 12,907 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 9,246 9,340 9,013 8,971 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 28,630 28,338 28,128 26,805 26,725 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2002
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 7 month total % Chg. 2002 2002 2002 2001 2001 NAICS Kind of Business 2002 from Jul Jun May Code 2001 adv. prel. final Jul Jun Retail & food services, total.................... 2,043,168 3.4 307,770 302,072 313,500 288,686 297,681 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 1,529,970 3.6 226,910 226,347 236,772 215,932 221,197 Retail ....................................... 1,847,165 3.2 277,823 272,912 284,050 260,755 269,753 GAFO............................................. (*) (*) (*) 75,247 77,878 69,828 71,475 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 513,198 3.0 80,860 75,725 76,728 72,754 76,484 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 470,223 3.1 74,240 69,335 70,208 66,343 69,996 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 58,073 58,298 55,812 58,735 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,390 6,520 6,411 6,488 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 52,849 3.7 7,661 7,600 8,046 7,476 7,509 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,228 4,485 4,120 4,193 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,372 3,561 3,356 3,316 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 50,029 8.0 7,282 7,280 7,196 6,741 6,727 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 5,137 5,119 4,807 4,766 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,143 2,077 1,934 1,961 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 184,853 4.8 28,031 29,352 32,162 26,456 28,454 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 24,108 25,867 23,058 23,685 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 276,271 2.5 41,154 40,068 41,695 39,964 39,808 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 249,204 2.3 36,924 35,953 37,456 35,956 35,775 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,632 2,712 2,568 2,607 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 105,418 8.7 15,252 14,708 15,762 13,841 13,972 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 12,383 13,293 11,632 11,695 447 Gasoline stations................................ 132,516 -7.2 21,276 20,418 20,774 20,888 22,021 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 90,653 2.8 13,074 13,374 14,332 12,717 13,095 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 825 843 775 865 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,726 3,003 2,413 2,619 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,625 4,663 4,446 4,438 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 1,761 1,867 1,799 1,793 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 45,816 7.0 6,641 6,729 6,691 6,242 6,507 452 General merchandise stores....................... 244,413 8.1 35,630 37,072 38,113 33,395 34,389 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 119,549 0.0 16,902 17,862 18,761 17,133 17,942 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (*) (*) 18,486 19,412 17,473 18,316 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 19,210 19,352 16,262 16,447 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) (*) (*) 16,103 16,158 13,415 13,592 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,107 3,194 2,847 2,855 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 63,094 0.6 9,195 9,139 9,846 9,090 9,350 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 88,055 -1.0 11,767 11,447 12,705 11,191 11,437 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 8,183 8,920 8,049 8,182 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 196,003 5.8 29,947 29,160 29,450 27,931 27,928 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (r) Revised.TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2002
Data adjusted for seasonal variatons, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Percent Change) Jul Jun 2002 2002 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun Code 2002 2001 2002 2001 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... +1.2 +4.8 +1.4 +3.8 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.2 +3.9 +0.5 +4.0 Retail .................................. +1.2 +4.6 +1.5 +3.6 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +4.2 +7.5 +4.2 +3.2 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +4.6 +8.1 +4.5 +3.4 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -1.4 +0.6 -1.1 +3.3 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -1.0 +7.0 +1.1 +9.8 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -1.2 +3.8 +0.6 +5.0 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.3 +2.1 +0.2 +2.0 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.3 +1.9 +0.1 +1.7 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +1.1 +8.3 +0.3 +8.0 447 Gasoline stations................................ +2.7 +0.5 -0.1 -6.0 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -1.3 +1.7 +2.5 +4.4 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.4 +5.3 +0.3 +6.3 452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.3 +6.2 +1.1 +8.2 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -0.1 -1.7 +0.7 +0.2 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.3 -0.3 +1.0 +0.5 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +0.5 +2.8 -0.7 +2.5 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +1.0 +6.8 +0.7 +6.0 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (Percent Change) Jul Jun 2002 2002 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun Code 2002 2001 2002 2001 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... +1.9 +6.6 -3.6 +1.5 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.2 +5.1 -4.4 +2.3 Retail .................................. +1.8 +6.5 -3.9 +1.2 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +6.8 +11.1 -1.3 -1.0 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ +7.1 +11.9 -1.2 -0.9 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.8 +2.5 -5.5 +1.2 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... 0.0 +8.0 +1.2 +8.2 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -4.5 +6.0 -8.7 +3.2 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +2.7 +3.0 -3.9 +0.7 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +2.7 +2.7 -4.0 +0.5 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +3.7 +10.2 -6.7 +5.3 447 Gasoline stations................................ +4.2 +1.9 -1.7 -7.3 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -2.2 +2.8 -6.7 +2.1 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -1.3 +6.4 +0.6 +3.4 452 General merchandise stores....................... -3.9 +6.7 -2.7 +7.8 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -5.4 -1.3 -4.8 -0.4 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +0.6 +1.2 -7.2 -2.3 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +2.8 +5.1 -9.9 +0.1 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +2.7 +7.2 -1.0 +4.4 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--JULY 2002 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 457-2713.
Source of Data: The Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey each month to provide an early indication of sales of retail and food service companies. The Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey is a voluntary survey of a sub-sample of about 5,000 firms selected from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey. Firms responding to this survey account for approximately 65% of the dollar volume estimate. Reliability of Estimates: The reliability of the estimates is a function of sampling and nonsampling errors. The margin of sampling error, as included on page 1, gives a range about the estimate which is a 90% confidence interval. If, for example, the trend estimate is +1.2% and the standard error is 0.9%, then the margin of sampling error is ±1.65 x 0.9% or ±1.5%, and the 90% confidence interval is -0.3% to +2.7%. If the interval contains 0, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. For monthly level, the coefficient of variation (CV) is given. The resulting confidence interval is the estimated value ± 1.65 x CV x (the estimated value). Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. Nonsampling error, on the other hand, can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors. Although not directly measured, precautionary steps are taken to minimize nonsampling error. Additional survey information is available at www.census.gov/svsd/www/advtable.html.
1st Quarter 2002 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
