CB-03-121FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION 8:30 A.M. ET, Wednesday, August 13, 2003
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for July, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $317.2 billion, an increase of 1.4 percent (±0.9%) from the previous month and up 5.6 percent (±1.0%) from July 2002. Total sales for the May through July 2003 period were up 5.4 percent (±0.4%) from the same period a year ago. The May to June 2003 percent change was revised from +0.5 percent (±0.9%) to +0.9 percent (±0.1%).
Retail trade sales were up 1.4 percent (±0.9%) from June and were 5.3 percent (±1.1%) above last year. Furniture and home furnishings stores were up 8.7 percent (±4.1%) from July 2002 and sales of building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers were up 8.2 percent (±2.2%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section at the end of this page.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2003
Data adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (In Millions of dollars) 2003 2003 2003 2002 2002 NAICS Kind of Business Jul Jun May Code adv. prel. final Jul(r) Jun(r) Retail & food services, total.................... 317,194 312,859 310,214 300,466 298,026 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 239,092 237,150 234,773 227,433 227,341 Retail ....................................... 287,152 283,096 280,578 272,618 270,093 GAFO............................................. (*) 80,472 79,911 77,445 78,067 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 78,102 75,709 75,441 73,033 70,685 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 71,587 69,228 68,985 66,731 64,452 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 8,422 8,377 8,272 7,747 7,846 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,896 7,805 7,755 7,416 7,544 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 5,652 5,628 5,388 5,441 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 2,153 2,127 2,028 2,103 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 27,000 26,663 26,008 24,947 25,112 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 23,268 22,612 21,902 21,954 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 42,613 42,275 41,831 40,984 40,875 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 38,414 38,154 37,706 36,973 36,877 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,641 2,645 2,626 2,624 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 16,004 15,843 15,641 15,030 14,963 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 13,514 13,395 12,805 12,707 447 Gasoline stations................................ 21,397 21,065 20,858 20,529 19,992 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 14,877 14,757 14,617 14,201 14,333 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 836 833 829 825 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,886 2,870 2,820 2,880 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 1,773 1,768 1,790 1,821 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 6,682 6,785 6,656 6,826 6,740 452 General merchandise stores....................... 39,741 39,304 39,155 37,878 38,236 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 18,347 18,171 18,119 18,756 19,060 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 21,133 21,036 19,122 19,176 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) 17,864 17,788 16,128 16,145 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,269 3,248 2,994 3,031 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 8,764 8,740 8,804 8,717 8,794 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 15,654 15,773 15,540 15,310 14,973 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 10,201 10,065 9,828 9,614 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 30,042 29,763 29,636 27,848 27,933 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2003
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 7 month total % Chg. 2003 2003 2003 2002 2002 NAICS Kind of Business 2003 from Jul Jun May Code 2002 adv. prel. final Jul Jun Retail & food services, total.................... 2,130,067 5.0 326,060 315,464 326,654 306,129 299,179 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 1,596,891 4.5 240,077 235,296 244,468 226,611 225,415 Retail ....................................... 1,925,518 4.9 294,546 285,016 295,032 277,084 270,324 GAFO............................................. (*) (*) (*) 75,774 78,964 72,133 73,837 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 533,176 6.4 85,983 80,168 82,186 79,518 73,764 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 487,977 6.7 78,817 73,382 75,401 72,737 67,288 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 61,404 62,792 62,833 57,333 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,786 6,785 6,781 6,476 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 54,646 3.5 8,414 8,067 8,380 7,724 7,556 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,314 4,556 4,264 4,255 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,753 3,824 3,460 3,301 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 49,249 2.0 7,466 7,278 7,195 6,963 7,015 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 5,200 5,223 5,049 5,000 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,078 1,972 1,914 2,015 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 185,643 4.6 29,766 30,558 31,267 27,416 28,007 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 25,455 25,303 24,158 23,513 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 290,959 3.2 44,164 41,644 43,811 42,015 40,844 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 263,593 3.1 39,797 37,544 39,478 37,897 36,840 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,593 2,748 2,694 2,603 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 108,760 5.3 15,908 15,415 16,063 14,925 14,454 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 13,109 13,783 12,587 12,250 447 Gasoline stations................................ 152,247 11.1 22,916 21,971 22,297 21,966 20,872 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 91,502 2.3 13,619 13,503 14,734 12,803 13,196 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 806 832 725 795 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,771 3,071 2,496 2,739 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,750 4,995 4,644 4,576 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 1,707 1,883 1,751 1,781 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 41,484 -1.6 5,940 6,120 6,010 6,089 6,160 452 General merchandise stores....................... 253,327 3.8 37,757 37,831 39,423 35,499 37,038 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 113,687 -4.9 16,663 16,910 17,876 16,845 17,866 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (*) (*) 17,194 18,186 17,125 18,174 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 20,921 21,547 18,654 19,172 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) (*) (*) 17,757 18,215 15,822 16,226 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,164 3,332 2,832 2,946 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 58,472 0.0 8,625 8,475 9,203 8,530 8,436 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 106,053 6.5 13,988 13,986 14,463 13,636 12,982 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 9,303 9,411 9,052 8,547 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 204,549 5.7 31,514 30,448 31,622 29,045 28,855 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (r) Revised.TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--July 2003
Data adjusted for seasonal variatons, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Percent Change) Jul Jun 2003 2003 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun Code 2003 2002 2003 2002 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... +1.4 +5.6 +0.9 +5.0 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.8 +5.1 +1.0 +4.3 Retail .................................. +1.4 +5.3 +0.9 +4.8 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +3.2 +6.9 +0.4 +7.1 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... +3.4 +7.3 +0.4 +7.4 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.5 +8.7 +1.3 +6.8 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +1.2 +6.5 +0.6 +3.5 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +1.3 +8.2 +2.5 +6.2 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.8 +4.0 +1.1 +3.4 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.7 +3.9 +1.2 +3.5 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +1.0 +6.5 +1.3 +5.9 447 Gasoline stations................................ +1.6 +4.2 +1.0 +5.4 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.8 +4.8 +1.0 +3.0 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -1.5 -2.1 +1.9 +0.7 452 General merchandise stores....................... +1.1 +4.9 +0.4 +2.8 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +1.0 -2.2 +0.3 -4.7 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +0.3 +0.5 -0.7 -0.6 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -0.8 +2.2 +1.5 +5.3 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.9 +7.9 +0.4 +6.6 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (Percent Change) Jul Jun 2003 2003 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Jun Jul May Jun Code 2003 2002 2003 2002 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... +3.4 +6.5 -3.4 +5.4 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +2.0 +5.9 -3.8 +4.4 Retail .................................. +3.3 +6.3 -3.4 +5.4 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +7.3 +8.1 -2.5 +8.7 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ +7.4 +8.4 -2.7 +9.1 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +4.3 +8.9 -3.7 +6.8 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +2.6 +7.2 +1.2 +3.7 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -2.6 +8.6 -2.3 +9.1 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +6.1 +5.1 -4.9 +2.0 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +6.0 +5.0 -4.9 +1.9 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +3.2 +6.6 -4.0 +6.6 447 Gasoline stations................................ +4.3 +4.3 -1.5 +5.3 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.9 +6.4 -8.4 +2.3 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -2.9 -2.4 +1.8 -0.6 452 General merchandise stores....................... -0.2 +6.4 -4.0 +2.1 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -1.5 -1.1 -5.4 -5.4 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +1.8 +1.1 -7.9 +0.5 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 0.0 +2.6 -3.3 +7.7 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +3.5 +8.5 -3.7 +5.5 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--JULY 2003 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713.
Source of Data: The Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey each month to provide an early indication of sales of retail and food service companies. The Advance Monthly Retail Survey is a voluntary survey of a sub-sample of about 5,000 firms selected from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey. Firms responding to this survey account for approximately 65% of the dollar volume estimate. Reliability of Estimates: The reliability of the estimates is a function of sampling and nonsampling errors. The margin of sampling error, as included on page 1, gives a range about the estimate which is a 90% confidence interval. If, for example, the trend estimate is +1.2% and the standard error is 0.9%, then the margin of sampling error is ±1.65 x 0.9% or ±1.5%, and the 90% confidence interval is -0.3% to +2.7%. If the interval contains 0, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. For monthly level, the coefficient of variation (CV) is given. The resulting confidence interval is the estimated value ± 1.65 x CV x (the estimated value). Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. Nonsampling error, on the other hand, can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors. Although not directly measured, precautionary steps are taken to minimize nonsampling error. Additional survey information is available at www.census.gov/retail.html.
1st Quarter 2003 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
