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                                                                 CB-01-151
FOR WIRE TRANSMISION 8:30 A.M. ET., Friday, September 14, 2001

ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES

AUGUST 2001

The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for August, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $293.1 billion, an increase of 0.3 percent (±1.0%) from the previous month and up 3.5 percent (±1.7%) from August 2000. Total sales for the June through August period were up 3.4 percent (±1.5%) from the same period a year ago. The June to July 2001 percent change was revised from virtually unchanged (±1.0%) to +0.2 (±0.2%).

Retail trade sales increased 0.2 percent (±1.0%) from July and were 3.1 percent (±1.7%) above last year. Health and personal care stores were up 7.9 percent (±3.6%) from last year and sales of building materials and garden equipment and supplies dealers increased 6.5 percent (±5.9%) from August a year ago. Motor vehicle and parts dealers were up 4.7 percent (±3.5%) from last year.

The advance estimates are based on a small subsample of the Bureau's full retail and food services sample. Estimates from the advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the earlier reporting in the advance and because of sampling variability present in both surveys.

Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales

(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)

   Month to month percent change   

The Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services for September is scheduled to be released October 12, 2001 at 8:30 a.m.

Address inquiries concerning this report to Scott Scheleur, Service Sector Statistics Division, Bureau of the Census, Washington, D.C. 20233. Telephone: (301) 457-2713 or (301) 457-2666.

This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.







TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES--August 2001

Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 2001 2001 2001 2000 2000 NAICS Kind of business Aug Jul Jun code adv. prel. final Aug(r) Jul(r) Retail & food services, total.................... 293,083 292,128 291,651 283,230 283,035 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 220,806 219,720 219,666 214,203 213,808 Retail ....................................... 265,819 265,199 264,785 257,826 257,362 GAFO............................................. (*) 75,223 74,534 73,581 73,305 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 72,277 72,408 71,985 69,027 69,227 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 66,133 66,234 65,829 62,862 63,143 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,650 7,655 7,662 7,748 7,748 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,282 7,263 7,225 7,262 7,169 44311 Appl., T.V., & camera.......................... (*) 5,230 5,191 5,034 4,982 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 2,033 2,034 2,228 2,187 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 24,585 24,362 24,503 23,074 22,875 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 21,212 21,347 19,896 19,862 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 40,019 39,955 39,903 38,963 38,935 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 36,056 36,050 36,026 35,320 35,286 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,518 2,514 2,424 2,405 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 14,448 14,448 14,272 13,388 13,218 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 12,499 12,308 11,436 11,266 447 Gasoline stations................................ 20,103 19,830 20,734 20,419 20,659 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 14,241 14,356 14,117 14,102 13,863 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 874 870 893 906 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,593 2,547 2,730 2,695 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 1,869 1,826 1,846 1,806 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,213 7,167 7,090 6,707 6,747 452 General merchandise stores....................... 35,185 35,062 34,741 34,236 34,216 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 19,898 19,783 19,704 19,782 19,800 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 15,279 15,037 14,454 14,416 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) 12,115 11,921 11,575 11,550 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,164 3,116 2,879 2,866 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,497 9,516 9,525 8,916 9,014 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 13,319 13,177 13,028 13,984 13,691 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 9,285 9,098 9,482 9,324 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 27,264 26,929 26,866 25,404 25,673 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.

TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES--August 2001

Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 8 month total Change 2001 2001 2001 2000 2000 NAICS Kind of business 2001 from Aug Jul Jun code 2000 adv. prel. final Aug Jul Retail & food services, total.................... 2,289,200 3.3 305,852 289,675 298,575 293,608 280,072 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 1,699,736 3.4 226,679 215,105 220,195 218,245 209,719 Retail ....................................... 2,074,910 3.1 277,089 261,750 270,500 267,010 253,244 GAFO............................................. (*) (*) (*) 68,947 70,800 74,224 67,754 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 589,464 2.8 79,173 74,570 78,380 75,363 70,353 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 540,293 3.1 72,482 68,155 71,885 68,582 64,153 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 57,586 60,600 59,349 55,088 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,415 6,495 6,781 6,200 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 59,115 -0.4 7,941 7,456 7,555 8,035 7,554 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,025 4,135 4,266 4,136 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,431 3,420 3,769 3,418 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 53,806 -2.1 7,274 6,777 6,770 7,264 6,712 44311 Appl., T.V., & camera.......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,864 4,828 5,014 4,698 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,913 1,942 2,250 2,014 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 197,889 5.4 25,993 25,792 27,255 24,468 23,723 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 22,866 23,503 21,786 20,915 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 315,355 3.4 41,027 40,646 40,502 39,662 40,082 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 285,813 3.0 36,993 36,699 36,530 36,026 36,345 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,548 2,579 2,441 2,482 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 112,296 8.9 14,462 13,986 14,101 13,281 12,769 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 11,999 12,050 11,264 10,815 447 Gasoline stations................................ 164,541 1.8 21,631 20,940 22,040 21,644 21,837 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 103,503 2.8 15,044 12,772 13,129 14,674 12,551 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 759 848 883 802 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,297 2,463 2,711 2,447 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,467 4,454 4,981 4,264 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 1,819 1,813 2,284 1,788 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 51,518 7.5 7,357 6,471 6,726 6,872 6,090 452 General merchandise stores....................... 254,958 2.9 35,255 32,222 33,386 33,722 31,787 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 142,740 0.4 19,908 17,605 18,590 19,396 17,942 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (*) (*) 17,936 18,954 19,801 18,315 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 14,617 14,796 14,326 13,845 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) (*) (*) 11,570 11,742 11,482 11,088 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,047 3,054 2,844 2,757 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 72,354 3.0 9,665 9,078 9,321 9,167 8,445 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 100,111 -0.6 12,267 11,040 11,335 12,858 11,341 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 8,050 8,197 8,970 7,963 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 214,290 5.1 28,763 27,925 28,075 26,598 26,828 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.

TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES--August 2001

Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Aug Jul 2001 2001 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of business Jul Aug Jun Jul CODE 2001 2000 2001 2000 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.3 +3.5 +0.2 +3.2 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.5 +3.1 0.0 +2.8 Retail .................................. +0.2 +3.1 +0.2 +3.0 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -0.2 +4.7 +0.6 +4.6 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... -0.2 +5.2 +0.6 +4.9 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.1 -1.3 -0.1 -1.2 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.3 +0.3 +0.5 +1.3 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.9 +6.5 -0.6 +6.5 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.2 +2.7 +0.1 +2.6 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 0.0 +2.1 +0.1 +2.2 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 0.0 +7.9 +1.2 +9.3 447 Gasoline stations................................ +1.4 -1.5 -4.4 -4.0 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -0.8 +1.0 +1.7 +3.6 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +0.6 +7.5 +1.1 +6.2 452 General merchandise stores....................... +0.4 +2.8 +0.9 +2.5 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +0.6 +0.6 +0.4 -0.1 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -0.2 +6.5 -0.1 +5.6 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +1.1 -4.8 +1.1 -3.8 722 Food services & drinking Places.................. +1.2 +7.3 +0.2 +4.9 Not Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Aug Jul 2001 2001 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of business Jul Aug Jun Jul CODE 2001 2000 2001 2000 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... +5.6 +4.2 -3.0 +3.4 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +5.4 +3.9 -2.3 +2.6 Retail .................................. +5.9 +3.8 -3.2 +3.4 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +6.2 +5.1 -4.9 +6.0 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ +6.3 +5.7 -5.2 +6.2 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +6.5 -1.2 -1.3 -1.3 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +7.3 +0.1 +0.1 +1.0 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.8 +6.2 -5.4 +8.7 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.9 +3.4 +0.4 +1.4 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.8 +2.7 +0.5 +1.0 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +3.4 +8.9 -0.8 +9.5 447 Gasoline stations................................ +3.3 -0.1 -5.0 -4.1 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +17.8 +2.5 -2.7 +1.8 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +13.7 +7.1 -3.8 +6.3 452 General merchandise stores....................... +9.4 +4.5 -3.5 +1.4 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +13.1 +2.6 -5.3 -1.9 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +6.5 +5.4 -2.6 +7.5 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +11.1 -4.6 -2.6 -2.7 722 Food services & drinking Places.................. +3.0 +8.1 -0.5 +4.1 SOURCE:Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--AUGUST 2001 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 457-2713/2666.

Reliability of Estimates

The Advance estimates are based on a small subsample of the Bureau’s full retail sales sample. Estimates from the Advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the earlier reporting in the Advance and because of sampling variability present in each survey. The margin of sampling error, as used on page 1, gives a range about the estimate which is a 90% confidence interval. If, for example, the trend estimate is +1.2% and the standard error is 0.9%, then the margin of sampling error is ±1.65 x 0.9% or ±1.5%, and the 90% confidence interval is -0.3% to +2.7%. If the interval contains 0, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. For monthly level, the coefficient of variation (CV) is given. The resulting confidence interval is the estimated value ± 1.65 × CV × (the estimated value). Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3.

Estimates from the Advance and the full survey are subject to nonsampling errors. Such errors can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors. Additionally, estimates of sales prior to March 2001 have been restated from SIC-based estimates. The restatement methodology may have introduced additional nonsampling error. Precautionary steps are taken to minimize nonsampling errors, but their magnitude is not directly measured.

Preliminary estimates for the current month and final estimates for the previous month based on the full sample will be published next month in the Monthly Retail Trade Report. This report will provide sales estimates in greater detail and additional measures of sampling variability. It will also present a description of revisions and the techniques used in developing the estimates, and an explanation of confidence intervals and sampling variability (Appendix B, Reliability of Estimates).


(1) These columns measure the difference between the estimates of trend for the same pair of data months, i.e. the difference between the Advance/Preliminary ratio and the Preliminary/Final ratio estimates. These revisions combine data from the SIC-based and NAICS-based samples. (2) Medians are based on the period February 2001 to present.
o 2nd Quarter 2001 Retail E-Commerce Sales 2nd Quarter 2001 Retail E-Commerce Sales


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Source: U. S. Census Bureau 
        Service Sector Statistics Division

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