CB-02-128FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION 8:30 A.M. ET, Friday, October 11, 2002
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for September, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $302.5 billion, a decrease of 1.2 percent (±1.0%) from the previous month, but up 5.8 percent (±1.1%) from September 2001. Total sales for the July through September 2002 period were up 5.3 percent (±0.4%) from the same period a year ago. The July to August 2002 percent change was revised from 0.8 percent (±1.0%) to 0.6 percent (±0.3%).
Retail trade sales were down 1.2 percent (±1.1%) from August, but were 5.7 percent (±1.1%) above last year. Building materials and garden equipment and supplies dealers were up 11.3 percent (±3.0%) from last year and sales of health and personal care stores were up 11.1 percent (±2.1%) from September 2001.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section at the end of this page.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2002
Data adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Millions of dollars) 2002 2002 2002 2001 2001 NAICS Kind of Business Sep Aug Jul Code adv. prel. final Sep(r) Aug(r) Retail & food services, total.................... 302,461 306,029 304,218 285,919 290,791 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 229,048 228,923 228,223 217,641 220,586 Retail ....................................... 274,405 277,872 276,110 259,496 263,756 GAFO............................................. (*) 79,821 79,292 74,975 76,423 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 73,413 77,106 75,995 68,278 70,205 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 67,204 70,896 69,768 62,257 64,070 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 7,873 7,910 7,845 7,468 7,635 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 7,736 7,757 7,731 7,232 7,314 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 5,550 5,543 5,214 5,265 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 2,207 2,188 2,018 2,049 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 27,014 26,539 26,367 24,271 24,995 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 22,883 22,725 21,079 21,855 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 39,938 40,085 40,147 39,735 39,470 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 35,821 35,944 36,027 35,794 35,529 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 2,655 2,652 2,564 2,540 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 15,811 15,575 15,478 14,232 14,416 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 13,079 12,986 12,131 12,115 447 Gasoline stations................................ 19,626 19,619 19,755 20,111 19,571 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 14,341 14,476 14,427 13,371 14,182 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) 861 861 816 900 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 2,775 2,768 2,651 2,753 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 1,790 1,781 1,703 1,837 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,615 7,501 7,393 7,004 7,294 452 General merchandise stores....................... 38,312 38,349 38,162 36,313 36,241 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 18,737 18,841 18,901 19,101 19,281 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 19,508 19,261 17,212 16,960 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) 16,282 16,089 14,273 13,968 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,226 3,172 2,939 2,992 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 9,536 9,631 9,435 9,270 9,476 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 13,190 13,324 13,375 12,211 12,957 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 9,378 9,358 8,314 8,992 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 28,056 28,157 28,108 26,423 27,035 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2002
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 9 month total % Chg. 2002 2002 2002 2001 2001 NAICS Kind of Business 2002 from Sep Aug Jul Code 2001 adv. prel. final Sep Aug Retail & food services, total.................... 2,651,188 3.9 286,548 321,081 308,361 271,014 305,003 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 1,982,445 3.7 216,406 236,142 226,951 206,602 227,600 Retail ....................................... 2,398,215 3.7 259,306 290,812 279,044 244,987 276,346 GAFO............................................. (*) (*) (*) 81,513 73,448 68,392 77,936 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 668,743 4.5 70,142 84,939 81,410 64,412 77,403 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 612,862 4.7 64,113 78,127 74,722 58,584 70,605 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 66,917 63,554 50,390 60,114 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,812 6,688 5,828 6,798 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 68,616 3.9 7,448 8,266 7,743 7,110 7,979 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 4,488 4,248 3,940 4,311 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,778 3,495 3,170 3,668 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 64,651 7.5 6,933 7,761 7,218 6,544 7,304 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 5,472 5,177 4,562 5,191 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,289 2,041 1,982 2,113 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 239,589 5.9 26,592 27,522 28,622 23,443 26,422 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 24,553 24,816 20,931 23,756 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 355,999 2.1 38,327 41,390 41,190 38,687 40,501 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 320,885 1.8 34,531 37,130 36,964 35,007 36,488 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 2,764 2,724 2,405 2,609 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 135,797 8.9 14,878 15,482 15,230 13,278 14,387 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 12,948 12,765 11,258 12,042 447 Gasoline stations................................ 173,453 -5.9 19,646 21,424 21,276 20,171 21,411 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 118,743 2.9 12,911 15,263 12,982 12,229 14,923 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 895 752 762 923 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 2,781 2,475 2,513 2,781 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 5,479 4,710 4,245 5,128 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,289 1,736 1,614 2,311 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 60,567 6.5 7,082 7,786 6,587 6,563 7,498 452 General merchandise stores....................... 316,678 7.4 33,983 38,376 35,533 32,641 36,224 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 154,544 -0.7 16,290 18,766 16,842 16,824 19,223 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.).................. (*) (*) (*) 19,113 17,160 17,151 19,608 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 19,610 18,691 15,817 17,001 45291 Warehouse clubs & superstores.................. (*) (*) (*) 16,445 15,703 13,160 14,066 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,165 2,988 2,657 2,935 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 82,024 1.0 8,932 9,983 9,236 8,616 9,840 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 113,355 0.6 12,432 12,620 12,017 11,293 12,454 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 9,097 8,619 7,782 8,830 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 252,973 5.4 27,242 30,269 29,317 26,027 28,657 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these business classifications. (r) Revised.TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--September 2002
Data adjusted for seasonal variatons, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Percent Change) Sep Aug 2002 2002 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Aug Sep Jul Aug Code 2002 2001 2002 2001 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... -1.2 +5.8 +0.6 +5.2 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.1 +5.2 +0.3 +3.8 Retail .................................. -1.2 +5.7 +0.6 +5.4 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -4.8 +7.5 +1.5 +9.8 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... -5.2 +7.9 +1.6 +10.7 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.5 +5.4 +0.8 +3.6 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -0.3 +7.0 +0.3 +6.1 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +1.8 +11.3 +0.7 +6.2 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -0.4 +0.5 -0.2 +1.6 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -0.3 +0.1 -0.2 +1.2 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +1.5 +11.1 +0.6 +8.0 447 Gasoline stations................................ 0.0 -2.4 -0.7 +0.2 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -0.9 +7.3 +0.3 +2.1 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ +1.5 +8.7 +1.5 +2.8 452 General merchandise stores....................... -0.1 +5.5 +0.5 +5.8 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -0.6 -1.9 -0.3 -2.3 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -1.0 +2.9 +2.1 +1.6 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -1.0 +8.0 -0.4 +2.8 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -0.4 +6.2 +0.2 +4.2 Data not adjusted for seasonal variations, holiday, trading-day differences, and price changes. (Percent Change) Sep Aug 2002 2002 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Aug Sep Jul Aug Code 2002 2001 2002 2001 Prel. Final Final Final Retail & food Services, total.................... -10.8 +5.7 +4.1 +5.3 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... -8.4 +4.7 +4.0 +3.8 Retail .................................. -10.8 +5.8 +4.2 +5.2 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... -17.4 +8.9 +4.3 +9.7 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ -17.9 +9.4 +4.6 +10.7 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -9.9 +4.8 +6.8 +3.6 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... -10.7 +5.9 +7.5 +6.3 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers -3.4 +13.4 -3.8 +4.2 445 Food & beverage stores........................... -7.4 -0.9 +0.5 +2.2 4451 Grocery stores.................................. -7.0 -1.4 +0.4 +1.8 446 Health & personal care stores.................... -3.9 +12.1 +1.7 +7.6 447 Gasoline stations................................ -8.3 -2.6 +0.7 +0.1 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... -15.4 +5.6 +17.6 +2.3 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -9.0 +7.9 +18.2 +3.8 452 General merchandise stores....................... -11.4 +4.1 +8.0 +5.9 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -13.2 -3.2 +11.4 -2.4 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -10.5 +3.7 +8.1 +1.5 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -1.5 +10.1 +5.0 +1.3 722 Food services & drinking places.................. -10.0 +4.7 +3.2 +5.6 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--SEPTEMBER 2002 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713.
Source of Data: The Census Bureau conducts the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey each month to provide an early indication of sales of retail and food service companies. The Advance Monthly Retail Survey is a voluntary survey of a sub-sample of about 5,000 firms selected from the Monthly Retail Trade Survey. Firms responding to this survey account for approximately 65% of the dollar volume estimate. Reliability of Estimates: The reliability of the estimates is a function of sampling and nonsampling errors. The margin of sampling error, as included on page 1, gives a range about the estimate which is a 90% confidence interval. If, for example, the trend estimate is +1.2% and the standard error is 0.9%, then the margin of sampling error is ±1.65 x 0.9% or ±1.5%, and the 90% confidence interval is -0.3% to +2.7%. If the interval contains 0, it is uncertain whether there was an increase or decrease. For monthly level, the coefficient of variation (CV) is given. The resulting confidence interval is the estimated value ± 1.65 x CV x (the estimated value). Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. Nonsampling error, on the other hand, can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors. Although not directly measured, precautionary steps are taken to minimize nonsampling error. Additional survey information is available at www.census.gov/svsd/www/advtable.html.
2nd Quarter 2002 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
