CB-00-193FOR WIRE TRANSMISION 8:30 A.M. ET., Tuesday, November 14, 2000
The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail sales for October, adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $273.2 billion, an increase of 0.1 percent (±0.7%) from the previous month and up 7.0 percent (±0.9%) from October 1999. Total sales for the August through October period were up 7.1 percent (±0.7%) from the same period a year ago. The August to September 2000 percent change was unrevised from +0.9 percent (±0.3%).
Durable goods decreased 0.5 percent (±1.4%) from September, but were 4.5 percent above last year. Furniture sales were up 5.6 percent from October a year ago, while automotive sales were up 5.2 percent from last year.
Nondurable goods increased 0.4 percent (±0.6%) from September and were up 8.8 percent from October 1999. Gasoline sales were up 17.0 percent from October a year ago, while drug store sales were up 11.3 percent from last year.
The scheduled release dates for 2001 are as follows: January 12, February 13, March 13, April 12, May 11, June 13, July 13, August 14, September 14, October 12, November 14, and December 13.
The advance estimates are based on a small subsample of the Bureau's full retail sales sample. Estimates from the advance and the subsequent full survey can differ because of the earlier reporting in the advance and because of sampling variability present in both surveys.
Percent Change in Retail Sales
(Data adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
This report is available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's online Economic Bulletin Board. For information call (202) 482-1986.
TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--October 2000
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 2000 2000 2000 SIC Kind of business Oct Sep Aug code adv. prel. final Retail trade, total........... 273,170 273,010 270,549 Total (excl. auto dealers). 205,957 205,145 203,750 Durable goods, total........ 111,945 112,456 111,268 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,280 15,043 15,273 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 11,946 12,083 525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,286 1,315 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 67,213 67,865 66,799 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 63,646 64,209 63,258 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (NA) (NA) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,656 3,541 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 14,611 14,569 14,517 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 6,998 7,018 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) 6,503 6,425 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (NA) (NA) Nondurable goods, total..... 161,225 160,554 159,281 53 General merchandise group stores.. 34,508 34,362 34,228 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 26,790 26,671 26,581 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 27,149 27,024 533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,407 1,394 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 6,284 6,253 54 Food stores....................... 40,526 40,463 40,352 541 Grocery stores.................. 38,436 38,315 38,215 554 Gasoline service stations......... 18,750 18,583 18,170 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 12,194 12,074 11,913 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) 971 955 562,3 Women's clothing, accessory stores........................ (*) 3,407 3,342 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (NA) (NA) 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,825 1,823 58 Eating and drinking places........ 25,807 25,833 25,516 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 11,442 11,284 11,227 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,556 2,560 5961 Total mail order................... (*) 9,205 9,201 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 70,662 70,198 594 1999 1999 SIC Kind of business code Oct(r) Sep(r) Retail trade, total........... 255,263 253,910 Total (excl. auto dealers). 191,394 189,881 Durable goods, total........ 107,081 106,505 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,084 14,823 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 11,767 11,430 525 Hardware stores................. 1,290 1,303 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 63,869 64,029 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 60,577 60,681 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (NA) (NA) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,292 3,348 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 13,839 13,889 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 6,655 6,703 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ 6,135 6,122 5722 Household appliance stores.... (NA) (NA) Nondurable goods, total..... 148,182 147,405 53 General merchandise group stores.. 32,034 31,981 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 24,994 25,008 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 25,478 25,465 533 Variety stores.................. 1,267 1,216 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,773 5,757 54 Food stores....................... 38,589 38,666 541 Grocery stores.................. 36,642 36,716 554 Gasoline service stations......... 16,019 15,843 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,287 11,232 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... 912 899 562,3 Women's clothing, accessory stores........................ 3,021 2,997 565 Family clothing stores.......... (NA) (NA) 566 Shoe stores..................... 1,782 1,772 58 Eating and drinking places........ 24,432 23,948 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 10,276 10,199 592 Liquor stores..................... 2,388 2,375 5961 Total mail order................... 7,808 7,794 53,56,57, GAF................................ 66,154 65,966 594 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.
TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--October 2000
Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 2000 2000 2000 SIC Kind of business Oct Sep Aug code adv. prel. final Retail trade, total........... 265,342 264,643 279,472 Total (excl. auto dealers). 200,818 197,901 206,809 Durable goods, total........ 107,218 109,491 118,061 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,677 15,220 16,424 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) 12,257 13,195 525 Hardware stores................. (*) 1,274 1,370 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 64,524 66,742 72,663 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 60,846 63,053 68,761 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) 53,858 58,721 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) 3,689 3,902 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 13,749 13,958 14,677 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) 6,851 7,257 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) 6,067 6,380 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) 1,004 1,058 Nondurable goods, total..... 158,124 155,152 161,411 53 General merchandise group stores.. 32,550 31,237 33,513 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 25,102 24,137 25,970 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) 24,575 26,442 533 Variety stores.................. (*) 1,275 1,334 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) 5,825 6,209 54 Food stores....................... 39,569 40,034 41,239 541 Grocery stores.................. 37,552 37,970 39,132 554 Gasoline service stations......... 18,975 18,899 19,387 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,767 11,708 12,842 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) 904 945 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ (*) 3,254 3,289 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) 4,490 4,984 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) 1,767 2,253 58 Eating and drinking places........ 25,936 25,730 26,664 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 11,167 10,686 11,047 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) 2,502 2,570 5961 Total mail order................... (*) 8,828 8,704 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) 65,488 70,190 594 1999 1999 SIC Kind of business code Oct Sep Retail trade, total........... 250,793 245,799 Total (excl. auto dealers). 189,497 182,499 Durable goods, total........ 102,741 104,113 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 15,288 15,275 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. 12,144 11,887 525 Hardware stores................. 1,298 1,293 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 61,296 63,300 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 57,912 59,892 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... 49,570 51,654 553 Auto and home supply stores..... 3,384 3,408 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 13,240 13,247 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. 6,682 6,515 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ 5,571 5,712 5722 Household appliance stores.... 944 934 Nondurable goods, total..... 148,052 141,686 53 General merchandise group stores.. 31,148 29,071 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 24,169 22,607 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) 24,632 23,034 533 Variety stores.................. 1,281 1,110 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... 5,698 5,354 54 Food stores....................... 38,525 37,972 541 Grocery stores.................. 36,605 36,129 554 Gasoline service stations......... 16,339 15,938 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 11,233 10,754 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... 932 827 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ 2,958 2,832 565 Family clothing stores.......... 4,587 4,265 566 Shoe stores..................... 1,654 1,698 58 Eating and drinking places........ 25,067 23,445 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 10,050 9,679 592 Liquor stores..................... 2,369 2,268 5961 Total mail order................... 8,066 7,607 53,56,57, GAF................................ 63,572 60,810 594 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.
TABLE 1C. ESTIMATED ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--October 2000
Not adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Millions of dollars) 10 month total Change SIC Kind of business 2000 from code 1999 Retail trade, total........... 2,640,961 8.9 Total (excl. auto dealers). 1,956,189 9.1 Durable goods, total........ 1,112,907 8.0 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. 155,937 3.5 521,3 Building mat. and supply stores. (*) (*) 525 Hardware stores................. (*) (*) 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ 684,772 8.6 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. 649,245 8.7 551 Motor vehicle (franchised).... (*) (*) 553 Auto and home supply stores..... (*) (*) 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. 137,721 8.7 571 Furniture and home furnishings.. (*) (*) 5722,31,4 Household appliance, radio, TV, and computer stores............ (*) (*) 5722 Household appliance stores.... (*) (*) Nondurable goods, total..... 1,528,054 9.6 53 General merchandise group stores.. 310,015 7.6 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased depts.) 239,695 6.8 531 Dept. stores (in. leased depts.) (*) (*) 533 Variety stores.................. (*) (*) 539 Misc. general mdse. stores...... (*) (*) 54 Food stores....................... 397,586 5.8 541 Grocery stores.................. 377,069 5.6 554 Gasoline service stations......... 181,905 22.4 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... 110,042 5.2 561 Men's and boys' clothing and furnishings stores......... (*) (*) 562,3 Women's clothing, accessary stores........................ (*) (*) 565 Family clothing stores.......... (*) (*) 566 Shoe stores..................... (*) (*) 58 Eating and drinking places........ 256,062 8.0 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... 107,018 9.5 592 Liquor stores..................... (*) (*) 5961 Total mail order................... (*) (*) 53,56,57, GAF................................ (*) (*) 594 (*) Advance estimates are not available from the subsample panel for these kinds of business. (NA) Not available. (r) Revised.
TABLE 2. PERCENT CHANGE IN ADVANCE MONTHLY RETAIL SALES--October 2000
Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Oct Sep 2000 2000 adv. prel. from-- from-- SIC Kind of business Sep Oct Aug Sep CODE 2000 1999 2000 1999 Prel. Final Final Final Retail trade, total........... +0.1 +7.0 +0.9 +7.5 Total (excl. auto dealers). +0.4 +7.6 +0.7 +8.0 Durable goods, total........ -0.5 +4.5 +1.1 +5.6 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. +1.6 +1.3 -1.5 +1.5 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ -1.0 +5.2 +1.6 +6.0 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. -0.9 +5.1 +1.5 +5.8 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. +0.3 +5.6 +0.4 +4.9 Nondurable goods, total..... +0.4 +8.8 +0.8 +8.9 53 General merchandise group stores.. +0.4 +7.7 +0.4 +7.4 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). +0.4 +7.2 +0.3 +6.6 531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) +0.5 +6.6 54 Food stores....................... +0.2 +5.0 +0.3 +4.6 541 Grocery stores.................. +0.3 +4.9 +0.3 +4.4 554 Gasoline service stations......... +0.9 +17.0 +2.3 +17.3 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... +1.0 +8.0 +1.4 +7.5 58 Eating and drinking places........ -0.1 +5.6 +1.2 +7.9 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... +1.4 +11.3 +0.5 +10.6 Not Adjusted for Seasonal, Holiday and Trading-day Differences (Percent Change) Oct Sep 2000 2000 adv. prel. from-- from-- SIC Kind of business Sep Oct Aug Sep CODE 2000 1999 2000 1999 Prel. Final Final Final Retail trade, total........... +0.3 +5.8 -5.3 +7.7 Total (excl. auto group).. +1.5 +6.0 -4.3 +8.4 Durable goods, total........ -2.1 +4.4 -7.3 +5.2 52 Building mat., hardware, garden supply, and mobile home dealers.. +3.0 +2.5 -7.3 -0.4 55 ex. 554 Automotive dealers................ -3.3 +5.3 -8.1 +5.4 551,2,5, Motor vehicle and miscellaneous 6,7,9 automotive dealers............. -3.5 +5.1 -8.3 +5.3 57 Furniture, home furnishings, and equipment stores................. -1.5 +3.8 -4.9 +5.4 Nondurable goods, total..... +1.9 +6.8 -3.9 +9.5 53 General merchandise group stores.. +4.2 +4.5 -6.8 +7.5 531 Dept. stores (ex. leased dept.). +4.0 +3.9 -7.1 +6.8 531 Dept. stores (in. leased dept.). (NA) (NA) -7.1 +6.7 54 Food stores....................... -1.2 +2.7 -2.9 +5.4 541 Grocery stores.................. -1.1 +2.6 -3.0 +5.1 554 Gasoline service stations......... +0.4 +16.1 -2.5 +18.6 56 Apparel and accessory stores...... +0.5 +4.8 -8.8 +8.9 58 Eating and drinking places........ +0.8 +3.5 -3.5 +9.7 591 Drug and proprietary stores....... +4.5 +11.1 -3.3 +10.4 (NA) Not Available. SOURCE:Advance Monthly Retail Sales--October 2000 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 457-2713/2666.
Estimates of sampling variability are given in Table 3. They are based on two components. The first component is a measure of the average difference between the Advance and the Preliminary estimates. The second reflects the variability of the Preliminary estimate. Additionally, both the Advance and the full survey are subject to nonsampling errors. Such errors can occur because of nonresponse, insufficient coverage of the universe of retail businesses, and response errors, among others. Precautionary steps are taken to minimize these errors, but their magnitude is not directly measured.
Preliminary estimates for the current month and final estimates for the previous month based on the full sample are published next month in the Monthly Retail Trade Report. This report will provide sales estimates in greater detail and additional measures of sampling variability. It will also present a description of revisions and the techniques used in developing the estimates, and an explanation of confidence intervals and sampling variability (Appendix B, Reliability of Data).
(2) ---- These columns measure the difference between the Advance/Preliminary ratio and the Preliminary/Final ratio estimates -- i.e., the difference between estimates of trend for the same pair of data months. The revisions for Retail trade total are based on the latest 12 months of data.
2nd Quarter 2000 Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: U. S. Census Bureau
Service Sector Statistics Division
