WEDNESDAY, November 14, 2007, AT 8:30 A.M. EDT
The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for October, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $380.3 billion, an increase of 0.2 percent (±0.7%)* from the previous month and 5.2 percent (±0.8%) above October 2006. Total sales for the August through October 2007 period were up 4.5 percent (±0.7%) from the same period a year ago. The August to September 2007 percent change was revised from +0.6 percent (± 0.5%) to +0.7 percent (± 0.2%).
Retail trade sales were up 0.1 percent (±0.7%)* from September 2007 and were 5.1 percent (±0.8%) above last year. Gasoline station sales were up 16.3 percent (±3.1%) from October 2006 and sales of nonstore retailers were up 5.9 percent (±2.0%) from last year.
The advance estimates are based on a subsample of the Census Bureau's full retail and food services sample. A stratified random sampling method is used to select approximately 5,000 retail and food services firms whose sales are then weighted and benchmarked to represent the complete universe of over three million retail and food services firms. Responding firms account for approximately 65% of the MARTS dollar volume estimate. For an explanation of the measures of sampling variability included in this report, please see the Reliability of Estimates section on the last page of this publication.
Percent Change in Retail and Food Services Sales
(Estimates adjusted for seasonal variation, holiday, and trading-day differences, but not for price changes)
The Advance Monthly Retail Sales for Retail and Food Services for November is scheduled to be released December 13, 2007 at 8:30 a.m. EST.
For information, visit the Census Bureau's Web site at <http://www.census.gov/retail>. This report is also available the day of issue through the Department of Commerce's STAT-USA (202-482-1986).
* The 90 percent confidence interval includes zero. The Census Bureau does not have sufficient statistical evidence to conclude that the actual change is different than zero.
SOURCE: Advance Monthly Sales for Retail Trade and Food Services--OCTOBER 2007 (Press Release available without charge from Public Information Office, Bureau of the Census Washington, D.C. 20233). Survey methodology and measures of sampling variability are documented in the Advance Press Release. Questions concerning this report should be directed to Mr. Scott Scheleur (301) 763-2713.TABLE 1A. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--October 2007
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes. (Total sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(2) (In Millions of dollars) 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006 NAICS(1) Kind of Business Oct(3) Sep Aug Oct Sep Code (a) (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 380,259 379,635 377,173 361,621 362,062 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 300,912 300,416 299,373 286,039 286,915 Retail ....................................... 342,120 341,743 339,509 325,499 326,059 GAFO(4).......................................... (*) 98,361 98,751 95,319 95,939 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 79,347 79,219 77,800 75,582 75,147 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 72,866 72,834 71,462 69,395 68,914 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 10,064 10,157 10,294 10,253 10,298 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 9,355 9,346 9,361 9,019 9,095 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) 7,512 7,545 7,296 7,369 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) 1,834 1,816 1,723 1,726 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 29,602 29,420 29,551 29,223 29,429 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) 25,420 25,668 25,806 25,866 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 48,310 48,104 47,750 46,264 45,257 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 42,990 42,751 42,486 41,183 40,280 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) 3,451 3,431 3,176 3,182 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 20,011 19,970 19,938 19,245 18,996 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) 16,755 16,694 16,323 16,078 447 Gasoline stations................................ 35,664 35,378 34,759 30,659 32,338 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 19,031 19,012 18,984 18,233 18,537 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (S) (S) (S) (S) 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) 3,417 3,453 3,307 3,351 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) 2,266 2,312 2,325 2,383 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 7,455 7,486 7,588 7,230 7,421 452 General merchandise stores....................... 48,271 48,333 48,470 46,582 46,710 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 17,273 17,367 17,503 17,637 17,833 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(5)............... (*) (NA) (NA) (NA) (NA) 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) 30,966 30,967 28,945 28,877 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) 27,402 27,410 25,436 25,342 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) 3,564 3,557 3,509 3,535 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 10,504 10,564 10,476 10,065 9,951 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 24,506 24,754 24,538 23,144 22,880 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) 16,695 16,628 15,741 15,470 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 38,139 37,892 37,664 36,122 36,003 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (S) Suppressed (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html (2) Estimates are concurrently adjusted for seasonal variation and for holiday and trading day differences, but not for price changes. Concurrent seasonal adjustment uses all available unadjusted estimates as input to the X-12 ARIMA program. The factors derived from the program are used in calculating all seasonally adjusted estimates shown in this table. Year-to-date seasonally adjusted sales estimates are not tabulated. Adjustment factors and explanatory material can be found on the Internet at http://www.census.gov/mrts/www/mrts.html (3) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (4) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise(452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532). (5) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.TABLE 1B. ESTIMATED MONTHLY SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--October 2007
Estimates not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (In Millions of dollars and Annual Percent Change) 10 month total % Chg. 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006 NAICS(1) Kind of Business 2007 from Oct(2) Sep Aug Oct Sep Code 2006 (a) (p) (r) Retail & food services, total.................... 3,693,218 4.1 375,840 359,579 394,185 352,353 349,880 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts)............ 2,907,674 4.4 299,123 284,846 308,265 281,738 276,706 Retail ....................................... 3,319,457 3.9 337,739 322,407 354,788 316,195 314,129 GAFO(3).......................................... (*) (*) (*) 89,982 100,522 90,296 88,874 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... 785,544 3.1 76,717 74,733 85,920 70,615 73,174 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................. 722,009 3.2 69,951 68,610 79,037 64,329 67,053 44111 New car dealers................................ (*) (*) (*) 56,349 64,575 53,368 55,685 4413 Auto parts, acc. & tire stores.................. (*) (*) (*) 6,123 6,883 6,286 6,121 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. 100,041 1.9 9,923 9,883 10,984 9,976 10,308 4421 Furniture stores................................ (*) (*) (*) 5,392 5,747 5,213 5,489 4422 Home furnishings stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 4,491 5,237 4,763 4,819 443 Electronics & appliance stores.................... 85,559 3.1 8,428 8,408 9,311 8,063 8,302 44311,13 Appl., T.V. & camera........................... (*) (*) (*) 6,686 7,462 6,464 6,669 44312 Computer & software stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 1,722 1,849 1,599 1,633 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers 301,318 -1.2 31,095 27,795 31,112 29,924 28,748 4441 Building mat. & supplies dealers................ (*) (*) (*) 24,683 27,901 26,890 25,969 445 Food & beverage stores........................... 469,545 5.7 47,774 46,808 48,810 45,222 44,631 4451 Grocery stores.................................. 419,597 5.5 42,603 41,768 43,506 40,359 39,797 4453 Beer, wine & liquor stores...................... (*) (*) (*) 3,275 3,517 3,055 3,147 446 Health & personal care stores.................... 195,263 6.2 20,051 18,652 20,018 18,937 18,179 44611 Pharmacies & drug stores........................ (*) (*) (*) 15,632 16,661 16,241 15,371 447 Gasoline stations................................ 354,110 3.1 37,055 35,767 38,339 31,609 33,211 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... 172,951 5.8 18,238 17,076 19,123 17,379 16,902 44811 Men's clothing stores........................... (*) (*) (*) 769 745 873 797 44812 Women's clothing stores......................... (*) (*) (*) 3,226 3,260 3,238 3,214 44814 Family clothing stores.......................... (*) (*) (*) 6,607 7,682 7,000 6,604 4482 Shoe stores..................................... (*) (*) (*) 2,076 2,802 2,204 2,219 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores....... 68,600 2.4 6,583 6,999 8,483 6,312 7,117 452 General merchandise stores....................... 451,177 4.8 46,083 43,829 48,192 44,587 42,466 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... 158,716 -1.1 16,354 15,257 17,247 16,620 15,710 4521 Department stores (incl. L.D.)(4)............... (*) (*) (*) 15,650 17,690 17,067 16,135 4529 Other general merchandise stores................ (*) (*) (*) 28,572 30,945 27,967 26,756 45291 Warehouse clubs & supercenters................. (*) (*) (*) 25,347 27,520 24,546 23,543 45299 All other gen. merchandise stores.............. (*) (*) (*) 3,225 3,425 3,421 3,213 453 Miscellaneous store retailers.................... 100,404 3.8 10,620 10,001 10,770 10,042 9,717 454 Nonstore retailers............................... 234,945 8.7 25,172 22,456 23,726 23,529 21,374 4541 Electronic shopping & mail-order houses......... (*) (*) (*) 15,326 16,512 15,867 14,573 722 Food services & drinking places.................. 373,761 5.6 38,101 37,172 39,397 36,158 35,751 (*) Advance estimates are not available for this kind of business. (NA) Not available (a) Advance estimate (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (1) For a full description of the NAICS codes used in this table, see http://www.census.gov/epcd/www/naics.html (2) Advance estimates are based on early reports obtained from a small sample of firms selected from the larger Monthly Retail Trade Survey (MRTS) sample. All other estimates are from the MRTS sample. (3) GAFO represents firms which specialize in department store types of merchandise and is comprised of furniture & home furnishings (442), electronics & appliances (443), clothing & clothing accessories (448), sporting goods, hobby, book, and music (451), general merchandise (452), office supply, stationery, and gift stores (4532). (4) Estimates include data for leased departments operated within department stores. Data for this line are not included in broader kind-of-business totals.TABLE 2A. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--October 2007
Estimates adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Oct Sep 2007 2007 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Sep Oct Aug Sep Code 2007 2006 2007 2006 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... +0.2 +5.2 +0.7 +4.9 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +0.2 +5.2 +0.3 +4.7 Retail .................................. +0.1 +5.1 +0.7 +4.8 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +0.2 +5.0 +1.8 +5.4 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers............... 0.0 +5.0 +1.9 +5.7 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. -0.9 -1.8 -1.3 -1.4 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.1 +3.7 -0.2 +2.8 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +0.6 +1.3 -0.4 0.0 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +0.4 +4.4 +0.7 +6.3 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +0.6 +4.4 +0.6 +6.1 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +0.2 +4.0 +0.2 +5.1 447 Gasoline stations................................ +0.8 +16.3 +1.8 +9.4 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +0.1 +4.4 +0.1 +2.6 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -0.4 +3.1 -1.3 +0.9 452 General merchandise stores....................... -0.1 +3.6 -0.3 +3.5 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... -0.5 -2.1 -0.8 -2.6 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... -0.6 +4.4 +0.8 +6.2 454 Nonstore retailers............................... -1.0 +5.9 +0.9 +8.2 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +0.7 +5.6 +0.6 +5.2 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from adjusted estimates provided in Table 1A of this report.TABLE 2B. ESTIMATED CHANGE IN SALES FOR RETAIL AND FOOD SERVICES, BY KIND OF BUSINESS--October 2007
Data not adjusted for seasonal variations and holiday and trading-day differences and price changes. (Estimates are shown as percents and are based on data from the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Survey, Monthly Retail Trade Survey, and administrative records.)(*) Oct Sep 2007 2007 adv. prel. from-- from-- NAICS Kind of Business Sep Oct Aug Sep Code 2007 2006 2007 2006 (p) (r) (r) (r) Retail & food Services, total.................... +4.5 +6.7 -8.8 +2.8 Total (excl. motor vehicle & parts ).......... +5.0 +6.2 -7.6 +2.9 Retail .................................. +4.8 +6.8 -9.1 +2.6 441 Motor vehicle & parts dealers.................... +2.7 +8.6 -13.0 +2.1 4411,4412 Auto & other motor veh. dealers................ +2.0 +8.7 -13.2 +2.3 442 Furniture & home furnishings stores.............. +0.4 -0.5 -10.0 -4.1 443 Electronics & appliance stores................... +0.2 +4.5 -9.7 +1.3 444 Building material & garden eq. & supplies dealers +11.9 +3.9 -10.7 -3.3 445 Food & beverage stores........................... +2.1 +5.6 -4.1 +4.9 4451 Grocery stores.................................. +2.0 +5.6 -4.0 +5.0 446 Health & personal care stores.................... +7.5 +5.9 -6.8 +2.6 447 Gasoline stations................................ +3.6 +17.2 -6.7 +7.7 448 Clothing & clothing accessories stores........... +6.8 +4.9 -10.7 +1.0 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book & music stores........ -5.9 +4.3 -17.5 -1.7 452 General merchandise stores....................... +5.1 +3.4 -9.1 +3.2 4521 Department stores (ex. L.D.).................... +7.2 -1.6 -11.5 -2.9 453 Miscellaneous stores retailers................... +6.2 +5.8 -7.1 +2.9 454 Nonstore retailers............................... +12.1 +7.0 -5.4 +5.1 722 Food services & drinking places.................. +2.5 +5.4 -5.6 +4.0 (p) Preliminary estimate (r) Revised estimate (*) Estimates shown in this table are derived from not adjusted estimates provided in Table 1B of this report.
Current Quarter Retail E-Commerce Sales
Source: Retail Indicators Branch, a U.S. Census Bureau | Last Revised: November 14, 2007