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Topics
Data & Maps
Surveys & Programs
Resource Library
Center for Economic Studies (CES) Working Paper Series
Center for Economic Studies (CES) Working Paper Series
This series features research in economics and other social sciences, by Census Bureau and FSRDC researchers, using restricted-use Census Bureau microdata.
Working Paper
Mobility, Opportunity, and Volatility Statistics (MOVS): Infrastructure Files and Public Use Data
We introduce the Mobility, Opportunity, and Volatility Statistics (MOVS) project, new public use data on income growth and household dynamics.
Working Paper
Does Rapid Transit and Light Rail Infrastructure Improve Labor Market Outcomes?
I analyze the effects of proximity to Los Angeles’s recent public transit expansions on local employment outcomes.
Working Paper
Interpreting Cohort Profiles of Lifecycle Earnings Volatility
We present new estimates of earnings volatility over time and the lifecycle for men and women by race and human capital using SSA earnings linked to CPS.
Working Paper
After the Storm: How Emergency Liquidity Helps Small Businesses Following Natural Disasters
We show that SBA disaster loans to firms reduce distress, increase growth, and crowd-in private credit, which seems to reflect resolving repair uncertainty.
Working Paper
The Impact of Immigration on Firms and Workers: Insights from the H-1B Lottery
We study how random variation in the availability of skilled, foreign-born workers—generated by the 2007 H-1B visa lottery—impacts firms and workers.
Working Paper
Where Are Your Parents? Exploring Potential Bias in Administrative Records on Children
This paper examines potential bias in the Census Household Composition Key's (CHCK) probabilistic parent-child linkages.
Working Paper
Grassroots Design Meets Grassroots Innovation: Rural Design Orientation and Firm Performance
Evidence of faster employment growth by firms applying a structured approach to design shows its the key role as an input to innovation.
Working Paper
Tracking Firm Use of AI in Real Time: A Snapshot from the Business Trends and Outlook Survey
We provide new evidence on recent and expected future use of AI by U.S. businesses based on timely data from the Business Trends and Outlook Survey.
Working Paper
Family Resources and Human Capital in Economic Downturns
This paper examines the impacts of the Great Recession on adolescents over the parent income gradient and finds that middle-class children were most at risk.
Working Paper
Examining Racial Identity Responses Among People with Middle Eastern and North African Ancestry in the American Community Survey
We examine unedited race responses for people of Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) ancestry on the American Community Survey between 2005-2019.
Working Paper
Good Dispersion, Bad Dispersion
Productivity is more dispersed across plants within firms than across firms. Rather than misallocation, this may reflect optimal reallocation of internal funds.
Working Paper
Neighborhood Revitalization and Residential Sorting
The HOPE VI revitalization program reduced neighborhood poverty rates experienced by subsidized renters.
Working Paper
High-Growth Firms in the United States: Key Trends and New Data Opportunities
We introduce new public-use BDS statistics capturing the stock and flows of employment, firms, and establishments along the firm growth rate distribution.
Working Paper
The Long-Term Effects of Income for At-Risk Infants: Evidence from Supplemental Security Income
This paper examines whether a generous cash intervention early in life can "undo" some of the long-term disadvantage associated with poor health at birth.
Working Paper
Starting Up AI
We document the rise in AI-related business applications between 2004-2023 and analyze the performance of businesses originating from these applications.
Working Paper
Scientific Talent Leaks Out of Funding Gaps
How do NIH grant funding delays affect research personnel's careers? We find a 3pp increase in not working in the US, and 20% decreased long run earnings.
Working Paper
Accounting for Trade Patterns
We develop a quantitative framework for exactly decomposing trade patterns into economically meaningful components.
Working Paper
The Rise of Specialized Firms
This paper finds that specialized firms have substantially increased their share of U.S. production and links this finding to rising concentration.
Working Paper
Low-Wage Jobs, Foreign-Born Workers, and Firm Performance
We find that access to migrant workers through the H-2B visa program raises firm revenues and survival likelihood with limited crowd-out of incumbent workers.
Working Paper
The Changing Nature of Pollution, Income, and Environmental Inequality in the United States
This paper decomposes Black-White environmental inequality, finding that convergence is due to compression in the overall pollution exposure distribution.
Working Paper
The Effects of Monetary Incentives on Income Data Quality in the SIPP
We find monetary incentives in the Survey of Income and Program Participation lower item nonresponse rates and measurement errors for some income questions.
Working Paper
Incorporating Administrative Data in Survey Weights for the Basic Monthly Current Population Survey
Using administrative data, we find minimal evidence of nonresponse bias in labor force statistics for the Basic Monthly Current Population Survey.
Working Paper
Connected And Uncooperative: The Effects Of Homogenous And Exclusive Social Networks On Survey Response Rates And Nonresponse Bias
We find that areas of the United States where people have more exclusive and homogenous social networks have higher nonresponse bias in the ACS.
Page Last Revised - September 28, 2023
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