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Resource Library
Center for Economic Studies (CES) Working Paper Series
Center for Economic Studies (CES) Working Paper Series
This series features research in economics and other social sciences, by Census Bureau and FSRDC researchers, using restricted-use Census Bureau microdata.
Working Paper
A Long View of Employment Growth and Firm Dynamics in the United States: Importers vs. Exporters vs. Non-Traders
We use the BDS-Goods Traders to describe employment growth and firm dynamics at traders and non-traders in the U.S. economy from 1992 through 2019.
Working Paper
Firm Finances and Responses to Trade Liberalization: Evidence from U.S. Tariffs on China
Chinese-trade-induced U.S. manufacturing job losses were concentrated in better capitalized firms operating in industries dependent on external financing.
Working Paper
The Long Run Effects of Military Service: Evidence from the 911 Attacks
We estimate the causal effects of post-911 military enlistment on wages and health outcomes, identifying off place of birth relative to the timing of 911.
Working Paper
Finding Needles in Haystacks: Multiple-Imputation Record Linkage Using Machine Learning
The linked data reveal new evidence that non-sampling errors in household survey data are correlated with respondents’ workplace characteristics.
Working Paper
The Industrial Revolution in Services
Top firms in service industries have expanded into small and mid-sized local markets. This entry has led to substantial unmeasured productivity growth.
Working Paper
The Business Dynamics Statistics: Describing the Evolution of the U.S. Economy from 1978-2019
We use the Business Dynamics Statistics (BDS) from the U.S. Census Bureau to describe the dynamics of the economy over the past 40 years.
Working Paper
Location, Location, Location
We use LEHD data to study the causal effect of location on earnings and the sources of variation in observed geographic wage premiums.
Working Paper
Pay, Productivity and Management
This paper studies the relationship between workers earnings, firm productivity and management practices.
Working Paper
Earnings Inequality and Immobility for Hispanics and Asians: An Examination of Variation Across Subgroups
Earnings inequality for Asian and Hispanic population aged 18-45 is constant or slightly decreasing for the long-term immigrant and native-born populations.
Working Paper
Climate Change, The Food Problem, and the Challenge of Adaptation through Sectoral Reallocation
Extreme temperatures have small effects on manufacturing productivity, suggesting a potential role for sectoral reallocation in climate change adaptation.
Working Paper
Import Competition and Firms’ Internal Networks
We document cross-sectoral propagation of Chinese import competition through firms’ internal networks; this novel channel has important aggregate implications.
Working Paper
Incidence and Performance of Spinouts and Incumbent New Ventures: Role of Selection and Redeployability within Parent Firms
We examine the role of selection processes in the incidence and performance of spinouts and new ventures formed by incumbents.
Working Paper
The Color of Money: Federal vs. Industry Funding of University Research
Does it matter whether research is funded by government or industry? For research outputs like patents and high-tech startups, the answer is yes.
Working Paper
Developing Content for the Management and Organizational Practices Survey-Hospitals (MOPS-HP)
This paper describes how the content for the Management and Organizational Practices Survey-Hospitals was finalized based on cognitive testing and past surveys.
Working Paper
Small Business Pulse Survey Estimates by Owner Characteristics and Rural/Urban Designation
Producing research estimates of the Small Business Pulse Survey by owner characteristics and rural/urban locations and associated challenges.
Working Paper
Immigration and the Demand for Urban Housing
This study estimates housing demand among immigrants and discusses how immigration may be altering the structure of US urban areas.
Working Paper
How Collateral Affects Small Business Lending: The Role of Lender Specialization
Lenders specialize in collateral and adjust their portfolio following a shock towards specialized collateral, impacting firm credit access and employment
Working Paper
Productivity Dispersion, Entry, and Growth in U.S. Manufacturing Industries
Combining productivity growth data from the BLS with DiSP and BDS data, we examine the relationships between entry, dispersion, and productivity.
Working Paper
Leapfrogging the Melting Pot? European Immigrants’ Intergenerational Mobility Across the 20th Century
This paper details educational attainment among early 20th century European immigrants and their U.S.-born counterparts across three linked family generations.
Working Paper
Comparing Earnings Outcome Differences Between All Graduates and Title IV Graduates
This paper shows how the differences in the frames for PSEO and College Scorecard explains differences in estimates, especially for mid-career earnings.
Working Paper
Immigration and Local Business Dynamics: Evidence from U.S. Firms
This paper analyzes the effect of immigration on business entry and exit decisions and its consequences for job creation and productivity.
Working Paper
A Search and Learning Model of Export Dynamics
We develop and estimate a model of firm-level export dynamics with costly customer search, endogenous market visibility, and learning about product appeal.
Working Paper
A Note on the Locational Determinants of the Agricultural Supply Chain
We explore the location decisions of several food and agricultural industries for employer and non-employer establishments.
Working Paper
Heavy Tailed, but not Zipf: Firm and Establishment Size in the U.S.
We estimate the best-fitting distributions of firm and establishment sizes. We find better alternatives to the commonly used Pareto, even far in the upper tail.
Working Paper
School Discipline and Racial Disparities in Early Adulthood
We utilize novel data to document the links between high school discipline and important young adult outcomes.
Working Paper
Combining Rules and Discretion in Economic Development Policy: Evidence on the Impacts of the California Competes Tax Credit
We study the impacts of a large state economic development program on job creation using ACS data.
Working Paper
The Impacts of Opportunity Zones on Zone Residents
We examine the early effects of OZs on employment, earnings, and poverty of zone residents using ACS data.
Working Paper
Black Entrepreneurs, Job Creation, and Financial Constraints
We document that Black-owned businesses tend to be more credit constrained than White-owned ones, leading to lower firm employment.
Working Paper
Cyclical Worker Flows: Cleansing vs. Sullying
We use U.S. linked employer-employee data to examine how worker flows contribute to productivity growth over the business cycle.
Working Paper
Business Applications as Economic Indicators
This paper explores the properties of three monthly business application series from the Census Bureau’s Business Formation Statistics as economic indicators.
Working Paper
Redesigning the Longitudinal Business Database
This paper documents the recent redesign to the Longitudinal Business Database (LBD), which tracks U.S. employer business establishments between 1976 and 2018.
Working Paper
U.S. Long-Term Earnings Outcomes by Sex, Race, Ethnicity, and Place of Birth
We explore inequality and volatility in earnings using a uniform set of earnings statistics for the U.S. from 1998 to 2017.
Working Paper
High Frequency Business Dynamics in the United States During the COVID-19 Pandemic
We compare and contrast the patterns from two new high frequency data products, providing insights on small business dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Working Paper
Whose Job Is It Anyway? Co-Ethnic Hiring in New U.S. Ventures
This paper explores co-ethnic hiring among new ventures using U.S. administrative data.
Working Paper
Changes in Metropolitan Area Definition, 1910-2010
Metro areas have gone by a variety of acronyms over the decades. This paper provides an overview of the conceptual changes in defining metro areas 1910-2010.
Working Paper
Female Executives and the Motherhood Penalty
The male-female earnings gap is smaller in industries with more female executives, but female leadership has no effect on firm-specific motherhood penalties.
Page Last Revised - September 28, 2023
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