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Center for Economic Studies (CES) Working Paper Series

This series features research in economics and other social sciences, by Census Bureau and FSRDC researchers, using restricted-use Census Bureau microdata.


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Working Paper
Entrepreneurial Teams: Diversity of Skills and Early-Stage Growth
This paper explores whether a diversity of skillsets and employment experience amongst members of a founder team helps enable the growth of startup firms.


Working Paper
Immigration and Entrepreneurship in the United States
In this paper we study the role of immigrants in entrepreneurship. We compare startup and job creation rates for immigrant vs native-born founded firms.


Working Paper
The Shifting of the Property Tax on Urban Renters: Evidence from New York State’s Homestead Tax Option
Using the American Housing Survey and tax data from New York, we estimate to what degree property taxes are shifted onto renters in the form of higher rents.


Working Paper
Family Formation and the Great Recession
This paper studies the impact of the Great Recession on family formation using linked confidential Census survey data.


Working Paper
Business-Level Expectations and Uncertainty
This paper describes early results from a survey of business expectations, as part of the Census Bureau’s Management and Organizational Practices Survey (MOPS).


Working Paper
Advanced Technologies Adoption and Use by U.S. Firms: Evidence from the Annual Business Survey
This paper looks at firm adoption of various business technologies, including AI and Robotics, by U.S. firms from the 2018 Annual Business Survey.


Working Paper
The Children of HOPE VI Demolitions: National Evidence on Labor Market Outcomes
We study how the demolition of 160 public housing projects—funded by the HOPE VI program—affected the adult labor market outcomes of resident children.


Working Paper
Business Dynamics on American Indian Reservations: Evidence from Longitudinal Datasets
We study business dynamics by location on American Indian reservations, and find reservation establishments survive longer than those in comparable counties.


Working Paper
Twisting the Demand Curve: Digitalization and the Older Workforce
The paper shows firm software capital investment raises within job-spell worker earnings, and that increases tail off for older workers.


Working Paper
The Grandkids Aren't Alright: The Intergenerational Effects of Prenatal Pollution Exposure
This paper find that the reductions in parental pollution exposure in utero increase the probability that the children of parents exposed will attend college.


Working Paper
The EITC and Intergenerational Mobility
We study how the Earned Income Tax Credit affects the socioeconomic standing of children who grew up in households affected by the policy.


Working Paper
An Evaluation of the Gender Wage Gap Using Linked Survey and Administrative Data
This study links Census Bureau survey data and work histories from administrative earnings records to decompose the gender wage gap by detailed occupation.


Working Paper
Determination of the 2020 U.S. Citizen Voting Age Population (CVAP) Using Administrative Records and Statistical Methodology Technical Report
This report documents the Census Bureau’s recent efforts using multiple data sources to produce block-level statistics on the citizen voting-age population.


Working Paper
Home Equity Lending, Credit Constraints and Small Business in the US
This paper shows how credit constraints impede small business activity by studying a 1997 policy change in Texas that relaxed the uses of home equity loans.


Working Paper
Male Earnings Volatility in LEHD before, during, and after the Great Recession
Earnings volatility, excluding increases during recessions, is shown to have declined from 1998 to 2016, a finding robust to various sensitivity analyses.


Working Paper
Total Error and Variability Measures for the Quarterly Workforce Indicators and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics in OnTheMap
Results from the first total quality evaluation of five major indicators in the QWI are shown to be accurate for tabulations involving at least 10 jobs.


Working Paper
United States Earnings Dynamics: Inequality, Mobility, and Volatility
We study changes over time and across sub-national populations in the distribution of real labor earnings for four large MSAs.


Working Paper
Identifying U.S. Merchandise Traders: Integrating Customs Transactions with Business Administrative Data
This paper describes the creation of the Longitudinal Firm Trade Transactions Database (LFTTD) that identifies merchandise traders - exporters and importers.


Working Paper
A Shore Thing: Post-Hurricane Outcomes for Businesses in Coastal Areas
This paper analyzes the effect of hurricanes on establishments in coastal counties relative to establishments in non-coastal counties.


Working Paper
A New Measure of Multiple Jobholding in the U.S. Economy
New statistics from the Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics data tell us that multiple jobholding is more important in the U.S. economy than we knew.


Working Paper
Family-Leave Mandates and Female Labor at U.S. Firms: Evidence from a Trade Shock
We study the role of family-leave mandates in shaping the gender composition at U.S. firms that experience a negative demand shock.


Working Paper
Trends in Earnings Volatility using Linked Administrative and Survey Data
This paper documents trends in earnings volatility by gender using the CPS ASEC linked to administrative tax data spanning 1995-2015.


Working Paper
Who Values Human Capitalists' Human Capital? Healthcare Spending and Physician Earnings
This paper combines survey and administrative data to measure and study the influence of government payments on physician earnings.


Working Paper
Estimating the Immediate Impact of the COVID-19 Shock on Parental Attachment to the Labor Market and the Double Bind of Mothers
This paper shows that the labor supply of working mothers of school-age children was differentially impacted by the school closure orders related to COVID-19.


Working Paper
How Does State-Level Carbon Pricing in the United States Affect Industrial Competitiveness?
Past responses by manufacturing plants to energy prices are used to predict the impact of regional carbon prices on manufacturing output and employment.


Working Paper
The Disappearing IPO Puzzle: New Insights from Proprietary U.S. Census Data on Private Firms
This paper conducts an analysis of the disappearing IPO puzzle and entrepreneurial firms’ greater tendency to exit through acquisitions rather than IPOs.


Working Paper
The Impact of 2010 Decennial Census Hiring on the Unemployment Rate


Working Paper
The Energy Efficiency Gap and Energy Price Responsiveness in Food Processing


Working Paper
Does Goliath Help David? Anchor Firms and Startup Clusters


Working Paper
Measuring the Effect of COVID-19 on U.S. Small Businesses: The Small Business Pulse Survey


Working Paper
Earnings Growth, Job Flows and Churn


Working Paper
R&D or R vs. D? Firm Innovation Strategy and Equity Ownership


Working Paper
Recall and Response: Relationship Adjustments to Adverse Information Shocks


Working Paper
The Micro-Level Anatomy of the Labor Share Decline


Working Paper
Are Customs Records Consistent Across Countries? Evidence from the U.S. and Colombia


Working Paper
Do Short-Term Incentives Affect Long-Term Productivity?

Page Last Revised - September 28, 2023
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