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Time Series and Seasonal Adjustment Working Papers

Time Series and Seasonal Adjustment Working Papers

The following papers of interest to researchers and seasonal adjustment experts are available for downloading.


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Working Paper
New Techniques for Determining if a Time Series Can Be Seasonally A...
New Techniques for Determining if a Time Series Can Be Seasonally Adjusted Reliably and Their Application to U.S. Foreign Trade Series


Working Paper
A General Analysis of Watson's Minimax Procedure for Component Mode...
A General Analysis of Watson's Minimax Procedure for Component Model Selection in Non-Stationary ARMA Model-Based Seasonal Adjustment


Working Paper
A Note on the Equivalence of Models with Monthly Means and Models w...
A Note on the Equivalence of Models with Monthly Means and Models with (0,1,1)12 Seasonal Parts with Θ = 1


Working Paper
A Study of Pre-Adjusted Transformations
A Study of Pre-Adjusted Transformations


Working Paper
Analysis of Concurrent Seasonal Adjustment for Retail and Wholesale...
Analysis of Concurrent Seasonal Adjustment for Retail and Wholesale Series


Working Paper
Preliminary Estimates for the National Crime Survey Using Regressio...
Preliminary Estimates for the National Crime Survey Using Regression and Time Series


Working Paper
Techniques for Determining If a Seasonal Time Series Can Be Seasona...
Techniques for Determining If a Seasonal Time Series Can Be Seasonally Adjusted Reliably by a Given Seasonal Adjustment Methodology


Working Paper
Time Series Modeling of Monthly General Fertility Rates
Time Series Modeling of Monthly General Fertility Rates


Working Paper
Trend Estimation with Concurrent Seasonal Adjustment
Trend Estimation with Concurrent Seasonal Adjustment


Working Paper
Concurrent Seasonal Adjustment with Census X-11
Much investigative effort is being expended worldwide toward improving seasonally adjusted estimates from the Census X-11 program.


Working Paper
The Substantive Changes in the X-11 Procedure of X-11-ARIMA
The Substantive Changes in the X-11 Procedure of X-11-ARIMA


Working Paper
Issues Involved with the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series
Issues Involved with the Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series


Working Paper
Seasonal Decomposition of Deterministic Effects
Seasonal Decomposition of Deterministic Effects


Working Paper
Ambiguities Associated with the Fitting of ARMA Models to Time Series
Examples are presented illustrating some ambiguities associated with the application of ARMA models.

Page Last Revised - November 22, 2021
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