The Business Dynamics Statistics of Single Unit Firms with Revenue (BDS-SU-REV) is an experimental data product extending the set of statistics published by the Business Dynamics Statistics (BDS) program. The BDS-SU-REV provides year-over-year changes in employment, payroll, and revenue for each quarter of the year for businesses that operate in one location (single-units) and file their taxes under a single Employer Identification Number (EIN). This product relies on IRS annual tax filings to collect revenue information and IRS quarterly tax filings to collect employment and payroll information for the pay periods including March 12th, June 12th, September 12th, and December 12th. Year-over-year employment and payroll changes are calculated between the same point in year t and year t-1 (i.e., June 12th year t-1 to June 12th year t, etc.). Employment and payroll growth is labeled as job and pay creation respectively and employment and payroll decline as job and pay destruction.
A novel innovation in the BDS-SU-REV is the incorporation of annual revenue data for single-establishment firms that consistently maintain positive employment levels each quarter. A positive annual growth in revenue is categorized as revenue creation, while negative growth is categorized as revenue destruction.
With this release of the BDS-Single Unit Firms with Revenue experimental product (vintage 2023), we extend the time series of revenue data back in time, so it begins in the same year (2007) as the payroll and employment time series. In Figure 1(a), we show real annual revenue over time for single-unit firms that operated in the 4th quarter of each year. Real revenue has generally increased over time as the economy has grown, with notable dips in 2009 during the Great Recession and 2020 during the COVID-19 Pandemic. In Figure 1(b), we show the annual growth rate for real revenue. The years 2010 and 2021 recorded strong growth as the economy recovered, while in 2011 and 2022 the economy grew more slowly. There was also a drop in revenue in 2013 although the causes of this are less clear. It could be related to unknown underlying data issues, the government shutdown that year, or some other cause.
In Figure 2, we show the share of annual revenue by NAICS industry sector for 2007 and 2022.1 In 2007, almost 50% of revenue generated by single-unit firms is in the Construction, Wholesale Trade, or Retail Trade sectors. Healthcare, Manufacturing, and Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services account for another 25% of revenue, and the remaining 13 sectors account for the last 25% of revenue. These shares shifted by 2022 with the top three sectors shrinking and the All Other Sectors category growing. All Other Sectors grew to account for almost 30% of revenue while Construction, Wholesale Trade, and Retail Trade decreased to approximately 46% of revenue. Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services made up a larger share of revenue in 2022 compared to 2007 (7.5% compared to 8.7%) while Manufacturing made up a smaller share (10.2% compared to 8.5%), as did Health Care and Social Assistance (7.3% compared to 6.9%). This latter finding is consistent with published data from the 2007 and 2022 Economic Censuses showing a declining share of revenue for single-unit firms in the Health Care and Social Assistance sector.2 While revenue for this sector grew overall during this time period, multi-unit-firm revenue grew more rapidly and health care shrank as a share of overall single-unit revenue.
1 Each firm is assigned an industry classification using the 2017 vintage of NAICS.
2 From Economic Census table EC0762SSSZ3 Share of revenue in sector 62 generated by single-unit firms in 2007 was 35.5%. From Economic Census table EC2200SIZESUMU Share of revenue in sector 62 generated by single-unit firms in 2022 was 27.0%.
In Figure 3, we show real annual revenue per worker, benchmarked to 2007. We divide single-unit firms into four age categories: 0-3 quarters (less than 1 year), 4-20 quarters (1-5 years), 21-40 quarters (6-10 years), and more than 40 quarters or left censored (10+ years). Age is calculated as number of quarters since the first quarter of positive employment. Left censored firms are those that were already in operation in 1976 when the underlying microdata begins. The time trends are relatively stable for the different age groups, except for the youngest firms. For start-ups in 2022, significantly more revenue was generated per worker hired than for start-ups in previous years. From the core BDS we know that 2022 was a high point for the number of start-ups, up almost 15% compared to 2020. From these data on single-unit firms we learn that 2022 single-unit start-ups were highly productive.
In Figure 4, we show annual revenue per worker by sector, again benchmarked to 2007. For comparison, the black, bold line represents the annual revenue per worker for all single unit firms. The five sectors we show all experienced a rise at the end of the time series, generating more revenue per worker in 2022 than in 2021. Construction shows a long-run rise between the Great Recession and 2022. Wholesale Trade, in contrast, declined after 2014 before increasing again in 2021 and 2022. Manufacturing was relatively stable until a large increase in 2022.
Finally, in Figure 5 we show real annual revenue per worker by state for 2007 and 2022. Darker colors represent higher ratios of revenue per worker. Almost all states had higher revenue per worker in 2022 compared to 2007 but the relative rankings of the states changed over time. In 2007, the states with the highest revenue per worker were California, Texas, Oklahoma, Illinois, New Jersey, New York, and Connecticut. By 2022, the upper Midwest experienced a significant increase in revenue per worker with North Dakota, Nebraska, and Minnesota all rising to the highest category, surpassing New York and Connecticut. Idaho, Illinois, Georgia, and Alabama also joined the highest category. Montana, South Dakota, Kansas, and Iowa all increased their revenue per worker more than states such as Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, or Oregon.
The BDS-SU-REV provides quarterly statistics from 2007 Q1 to 2023 Q4. There are 46 tables, each expressed in nominal and real terms. Tables are stratified by year, quarter, and firm characteristics and contain the following information:
Tables are stratified by the following characteristics or some combination thereof. In addition, there is an economy-wide table stratified only by year and quarter:
Unlike the main BDS, which measures firm age in years, the BDS-SU-REV measures firm age in quarters. These quarterly single-unit data have numerous advantages. First, because these businesses operate in a single place, the firm, as defined by ownership, is equivalent to the establishment, as defined by location. This simplifies the reporting of business characteristics since age and size are the same for the firm as for the establishment. Second, because the quarterly data allow us to identify the first and last quarters a business had employees, we can date business entry and exit more precisely during the year. Third, the quarterly data also capture large temporary disruptions to the economy that happen in a single year, such as the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic recession or a natural disaster, which would be missed in the traditional BDS annual March-over-March job change estimates. Finally, the quarterly data include payroll, allowing us to calculate payroll creation and destruction in an analogous manner to employment.
While the quarterly employment time series begins in 2007, quarterly payroll data exist back to 1976, allowing us to measure firm age over the same time span as the main BDS. We identify the first quarter a firm had payroll between 1976 Q1 and 2023 Q4 and then measure firm age as the number of calendar quarters between the first and current quarter. In comparison, the main BDS identifies the first year a firm had employment in the pay period that includes March 12th and then calculates firm age as the number of calendar years between the first and current year. If a firm began in the 2nd, 3rd, or 4th quarters of the year, its birth will not be recognized by the main BDS until the following year in March. This annual measurement aggregates births over all the quarters of the prior year and reports them at the end of the 1st quarter each year. The quarterly measurement of the BDS-SU-REV disaggregates these births across the four quarters of the year. The same is true for firm exits.
Another innovation of the BDS-SU-REV product is the addition of payroll and revenue measures that mirror the employment measures. These new measures include total payroll, total revenue, payroll creation (year-over-year increase), revenue creation, payroll destruction (year-over-year decrease), revenue destruction, net payroll creation (total creation minus total destruction), net revenue creation, and the portion of payroll and revenue creation attributed to new businesses ('births') and the portion of payroll and revenue destruction attributed to business closures ('deaths').
Note that while the payroll and employment variables are measured at the quarterly level, revenue is only measured annually. However, all revenue measures are presented at the quarterly level, reflecting the annual revenue generated by businesses active in that quarter. For more information, please refer to the BDS-SU-REV definition.
Finally, we publish the ratio of payroll to employment and revenue to employment for all single-unit firms, and separately for continuing, entering, and exiting firms. Comparing this ratio for different groups of firms provides information about how average pay per worker and revenue per worker (labor productivity) varies across industries and geography.
NEW: The 2023 BDS-Single Unit Firms covering the years 2007 to 2023 is now available! This release expands the revenue time series to cover 2007-2022. The 2023 release also includes applicable changes and improvements reflected in the 2023 BDS Release.
Questions? Contact us at [email protected].