The Business Dynamics Statistics of businesses that received SBA COVID Response funds during the pandemic is an experimental data product that expands the set of statistics published by the Business Dynamics Statistics program.
This data product provides annual measures of business dynamics for recipients and non-recipients of the four main SBA-administered pandemic relief funds. These include the Paycheck Protection Program, COVID Economic Injury Disaster Loans, the Restaurant Revitalization Fund, and Shuttered Venue Operators Grants. There are a total of 38 tables available to download and each offers the full suite of 24 BDS variables, including firm and establishment counts, job creation and destruction, and establishment entry and exit. As in all BDS products, establishments are defined as the fixed physical locations where business activity is conducted. Firms are defined as enterprises that own and operate one or more establishments, possibly across a variety of industries and geographies. The inaugural vintage of this data product will present annual statistics for the 2007-2022 period. We highlight notable findings from the data below. Detailed information regarding the specific loan programs and the methods used to tabulate the reported statistics can be found in the Definitions and Methodology dropdowns below. Data tables in CSV format are available to download in the Data dropdown.
How many and what share of businesses participated in PPP, the largest pandemic-era program administered by SBA? We find that 66 percent of firms employing fewer than 500 workers received PPP funding. This amounts to more than 3.5 million small firms. With nearly 62 million workers at small firms supported by PPP, the employment-weighted small-firm take-up rate measures 78 percent. This take-up rate should be viewed as a lower bound since most, but not all, PPP loans are able to be successfully matched to the Census Bureau’s business microdata.
Turning to the distribution of PPP across firm-age groups, Figure 1 reveals two important findings: PPP participation generally increased with firm age and even start-ups participated in the program. Indeed, while 65 percent of young firms between 1 and 5 years old received PPP funding, the take-up share for firms that had been in operation for more than 10 years measured more than 68 percent. For the nation's start-ups that began operating right before the pandemic (between March 2019 and March 2020), more than half received at least one draw from PPP.
Next, we explore whether businesses that participated in PPP were more resilient than non-recipients from a job destruction standpoint. In other words, did recipient businesses destroy jobs at lower rates compared to businesses that did not receive PPP funding? For comparison purposes, we define non-recipients as businesses that were in scope for BDS tabulation in 2020 but did not participate in PPP, omitting businesses that died before 2020 and those that were born after 2020. Doing so creates a cleaner comparison with recipients.
Figure 2 examines job destruction by firm age. Not surprisingly, the youngest firms, which, even in the absence of a global pandemic, faced a higher likelihood of exit than older firms, destroyed jobs at the highest rates in 2022. However, when comparing recipients and non-recipients within the youngest firm-age group, the timing of PPP receipt mattered. Receiving an early first draw correlated with a lower job destruction rate, regardless of whether a follow-up second draw was received. This finding does not necessarily hold true for the other firm-age groups. More subtly, firms in the 11+ firm-age bin that received a first and second draw destroyed jobs at a lower rate than recipients of a single draw.
Next, we turn to an analysis of establishment exit among recipients and non-recipients. Whereas job destruction can be viewed as an intensive-margin measure of business decline, establishment exit helps provide a sense of business decline along the extensive margin. We analyze the 2022 establishment exit rate which is the rate at which establishments with employment in March 2021 switched to having no employment in March 2022. By definition, these firms survived from the time of their PPP receipt until March 2021.
Establishment exit rates across the firm-age spectrum, as depicted in Figure 3, also reveal that the timing of loan receipt mattered, not just for young firms but for most firms except the very oldest. Indeed, businesses that received an early first draw exited at a lower rate than businesses that received a later first draw as well as non-recipients. In fact, the establishment exit rate for the youngest firms that received only an early first draw was more than 30 percent lower than young firms that received only a later first draw and roughly half that of non-recipients. This finding that PPP participation is associated with lower establishment exit and that early participation had the largest effect on establishment exit rates is also visible among older firms as well.
Establishment exit rates across the firm-age spectrum, as depicted in Figure 3, also reveal that the timing of loan receipt mattered, not just for young firms but for most firms except the very oldest. Indeed, businesses that received an early first draw exited at a lower rate than businesses that received a later first draw as well as non-recipients. In fact, the establishment exit rate for the youngest firms that received only an early first draw was more than 30 percent lower than young firms that received only a later first draw and roughly half that of non-recipients. This finding that PPP participation is associated with lower establishment exit and that early participation had the largest effect on establishment exit rates is also visible among older firms as well.
Questions? Contact us at ces.bds@census.gov.